Persistent inflationary pressures above the Fed's 2% target, fueled by energy supply shocks from Middle East tensions, have pushed futures markets to price in a roughly even chance of at least one 25-basis-point hike by year-end 2026, with the federal funds rate currently steady at 3.50-3.75%. Recent July FOMC minutes revealed three dissents favoring an immediate increase, while the June dot plot showed divided projections for the 2026 median rate, reflecting uncertainty over whether solid job growth and productivity gains can offset sticky price levels. Key near-term catalysts include the August CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and any escalation in geopolitical risks that could shift trader consensus on the policy path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$7,314,434 Объем
$7,314,434 Объем
Да
$7,314,434 Объем
$7,314,434 Объем
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflationary pressures above the Fed's 2% target, fueled by energy supply shocks from Middle East tensions, have pushed futures markets to price in a roughly even chance of at least one 25-basis-point hike by year-end 2026, with the federal funds rate currently steady at 3.50-3.75%. Recent July FOMC minutes revealed three dissents favoring an immediate increase, while the June dot plot showed divided projections for the 2026 median rate, reflecting uncertainty over whether solid job growth and productivity gains can offset sticky price levels. Key near-term catalysts include the August CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and any escalation in geopolitical risks that could shift trader consensus on the policy path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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