Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, prompting trader consensus at 98.6% for his departure in the May 15–22 window, reinforced by the Senate's confirmation of President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor on May 13. Powell confirmed in his April 29 press conference that he will step aside at term end while remaining a Fed Board of Governors member until 2028, aligning with historical precedent where chairs typically exit upon expiration absent reappointment. This near-certainty reflects smooth confirmation process and no indications of early resignation or extension. Potential shifts could arise from delays in Warsh's swearing-in, unforeseen legal hurdles, or a rare holdover arrangement, though Powell's statements signal timely transition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 98.6%
May 30–June 5 <1%
June 13–19 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
$120,600 Объем
$120,600 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
Before May 15
<1%
May 15–22
99%
May 23–29
<1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
<1%
June 13–19
1%
June 20–26
<1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
<1%
May 15–22 98.6%
May 30–June 5 <1%
June 13–19 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
$120,600 Объем
$120,600 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
Before May 15
$35,947 Объем
<1%
May 15–22
$32,039 Объем
99%
May 23–29
$6,325 Объем
<1%
May 30–June 5
$5,938 Объем
1%
June 6–12
$7,136 Объем
<1%
June 13–19
$6,658 Объем
1%
June 20–26
$9,622 Объем
<1%
June 27–July 3
$3,216 Объем
<1%
After July 3
$13,719 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, prompting trader consensus at 98.6% for his departure in the May 15–22 window, reinforced by the Senate's confirmation of President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor on May 13. Powell confirmed in his April 29 press conference that he will step aside at term end while remaining a Fed Board of Governors member until 2028, aligning with historical precedent where chairs typically exit upon expiration absent reappointment. This near-certainty reflects smooth confirmation process and no indications of early resignation or extension. Potential shifts could arise from delays in Warsh's swearing-in, unforeseen legal hurdles, or a rare holdover arrangement, though Powell's statements signal timely transition.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Объем
$120,600Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, prompting trader consensus at 98.6% for his departure in the May 15–22 window, reinforced by the Senate's confirmation of President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor on May 13. Powell confirmed in his April 29 press conference that he will step aside at term end while remaining a Fed Board of Governors member until 2028, aligning with historical precedent where chairs typically exit upon expiration absent reappointment. This near-certainty reflects smooth confirmation process and no indications of early resignation or extension. Potential shifts could arise from delays in Warsh's swearing-in, unforeseen legal hurdles, or a rare holdover arrangement, though Powell's statements signal timely transition.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$120,600Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, prompting trader consensus at 98.6% for his departure in the May 15–22 window, reinforced by the Senate's confirmation of President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor on May 13. Powell confirmed in his April 29 press conference that he will step aside at term end while remaining a Fed Board of Governors member until 2028, aligning with historical precedent where chairs typically exit upon expiration absent reappointment. This near-certainty reflects smooth confirmation process and no indications of early resignation or extension. Potential shifts could arise from delays in Warsh's swearing-in, unforeseen legal hurdles, or a rare holdover arrangement, though Powell's statements signal timely transition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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