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Экономика·Джером Пауэлл

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
Экономика·Джером Пауэлл

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

июн. 17

июн. 17

0 63%

1 19%

2 13%

3 9%

Polymarket

$16,364 Объем

0 63%

1 19%

2 13%

3 9%

Polymarket

$16,364 Объем

0

$10,924 Объем

63%

1

$357 Объем

19%

2

$155 Объем

13%

3

$156 Объем

9%

4+

$4,774 Объем

2%

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62.5% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations that the four-vote split from the April 28-29 session will not recur. That April decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% drew the most dissents since 1992, with one governor favoring a 25-basis-point cut and three regional presidents opposing the statement’s easing bias amid persistent inflation above the 2% target and elevated oil-price pressures. Recent commentary from Boston Fed President Susan Collins, who aligned with the statement critics, and incoming Chair Kevin Warsh’s anticipated emphasis on data dependence have reinforced market pricing that incoming economic releases and a post-Powell transition will favor unanimity.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$16,364
Дата окончания
17 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62.5% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations that the four-vote split from the April 28-29 session will not recur. That April decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% drew the most dissents since 1992, with one governor favoring a 25-basis-point cut and three regional presidents opposing the statement’s easing bias amid persistent inflation above the 2% target and elevated oil-price pressures. Recent commentary from Boston Fed President Susan Collins, who aligned with the statement critics, and incoming Chair Kevin Warsh’s anticipated emphasis on data dependence have reinforced market pricing that incoming economic releases and a post-Powell transition will favor unanimity.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$16,364
Дата окончания
17 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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На сегодняшний день «How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $16.4K с момента запуска рынка Apr 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?» — «0» с 63%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 63%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1» с 19%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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