Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, 2026, paving the way for his confirmed successor, Kevin Warsh, nominated by President Trump and approved by the Senate in a 54-45 vote on May 13 amid partisan divides. Powell announced on April 29 he would step aside as chair but continue serving on the Board of Governors through at least early 2028, emphasizing Fed independence despite prior White House pressures for earlier departure. Traders weigh this scheduled transition against slim possibilities of holdover delays or unexpected resignations, with no further confirmation hearings needed and Warsh poised for immediate swearing-in. Historical precedents show smooth handoffs at term ends absent legal challenges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$81,253 Объем
May 16
91%
15 мая
14%
May 31
100%
June 30
100%
$81,253 Объем
May 16
91%
15 мая
14%
May 31
100%
June 30
100%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, 2026, paving the way for his confirmed successor, Kevin Warsh, nominated by President Trump and approved by the Senate in a 54-45 vote on May 13 amid partisan divides. Powell announced on April 29 he would step aside as chair but continue serving on the Board of Governors through at least early 2028, emphasizing Fed independence despite prior White House pressures for earlier departure. Traders weigh this scheduled transition against slim possibilities of holdover delays or unexpected resignations, with no further confirmation hearings needed and Warsh poised for immediate swearing-in. Historical precedents show smooth handoffs at term ends absent legal challenges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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