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icon for Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

icon for Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$423,519 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$423,519 Объем

Polymarket

December 31

$136,927 Объем

38%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s continued service on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors through at least late 2026 reflects his stated commitment to remain until an investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project reaches resolution with transparency, alongside concerns over maintaining monetary policy independence amid political pressures. His governor term extends to January 2028, and recent remarks, including a May 31 speech, underscore his intent to stay beyond the May 2026 chair transition to Kevin Warsh. Market-implied odds for an earlier exit price in the possibility of resignation or external developments, but current dynamics favor continuity given Powell’s explicit timeline and the absence of immediate catalysts like FOMC leadership changes or confirmed departures. Traders monitor ongoing Trump administration interactions and any updates on the probe for shifts in consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$423,519
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s continued service on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors through at least late 2026 reflects his stated commitment to remain until an investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project reaches resolution with transparency, alongside concerns over maintaining monetary policy independence amid political pressures. His governor term extends to January 2028, and recent remarks, including a May 31 speech, underscore his intent to stay beyond the May 2026 chair transition to Kevin Warsh. Market-implied odds for an earlier exit price in the possibility of resignation or external developments, but current dynamics favor continuity given Powell’s explicit timeline and the absence of immediate catalysts like FOMC leadership changes or confirmed departures. Traders monitor ongoing Trump administration interactions and any updates on the probe for shifts in consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$423,519
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «December 31» с 38%, за ним следует «May 30» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 38¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $423.5K с момента запуска рынка Jan 5, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?» — «December 31» с 38%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Следующий ближайший исход — «May 30» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.