Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026—one day from now—but he affirmed on April 29 that he will remain on the Board of Governors for a period to be determined, with his governor seat extending through January 2028 absent resignation or removal. This decision counters political pressure from the Trump administration, including legal challenges to Fed independence, amid trader concerns over monetary policy continuity. Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation as new Chair on May 13 signals a potential shift toward aggressive rate cuts, influencing market-implied odds on Powell's tenure. Key catalysts include upcoming FOMC meetings and any escalation in executive efforts to reshape the Board, with Treasury yields and Fed funds futures repricing transition risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$316,702 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
30 мая
3%
31 декабря
43%
$316,702 Объем
30 мая
$196,045 Объем
3%
31 декабря
$120,658 Объем
43%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026—one day from now—but he affirmed on April 29 that he will remain on the Board of Governors for a period to be determined, with his governor seat extending through January 2028 absent resignation or removal. This decision counters political pressure from the Trump administration, including legal challenges to Fed independence, amid trader concerns over monetary policy continuity. Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation as new Chair on May 13 signals a potential shift toward aggressive rate cuts, influencing market-implied odds on Powell's tenure. Key catalysts include upcoming FOMC meetings and any escalation in executive efforts to reshape the Board, with Treasury yields and Fed funds futures repricing transition risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Объем
$316,702Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026—one day from now—but he affirmed on April 29 that he will remain on the Board of Governors for a period to be determined, with his governor seat extending through January 2028 absent resignation or removal. This decision counters political pressure from the Trump administration, including legal challenges to Fed independence, amid trader concerns over monetary policy continuity. Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation as new Chair on May 13 signals a potential shift toward aggressive rate cuts, influencing market-implied odds on Powell's tenure. Key catalysts include upcoming FOMC meetings and any escalation in executive efforts to reshape the Board, with Treasury yields and Fed funds futures repricing transition risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$316,702Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026—one day from now—but he affirmed on April 29 that he will remain on the Board of Governors for a period to be determined, with his governor seat extending through January 2028 absent resignation or removal. This decision counters political pressure from the Trump administration, including legal challenges to Fed independence, amid trader concerns over monetary policy continuity. Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation as new Chair on May 13 signals a potential shift toward aggressive rate cuts, influencing market-implied odds on Powell's tenure. Key catalysts include upcoming FOMC meetings and any escalation in executive efforts to reshape the Board, with Treasury yields and Fed funds futures repricing transition risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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