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icon for Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?

Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?

icon for Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?

Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?

дек. 9

янв. 27, 2027

дек. 9

янв. 27, 2027

2 24%

3 24%

1 22%

0 19%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

2 24%

3 24%

1 22%

0 19%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

0

$966 Объем

19%

1

$310 Объем

22%

2

$61 Объем

24%

3

$4,106 Объем

24%

4+

$190 Объем

18%

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured elevated dissent levels, including three hawkish votes in July 2026 favoring a 25-basis-point rate hike amid sticky inflation above the 2% target and resilient domestic demand. With the January 2027 meeting still months away, trader-implied odds cluster tightly between one and three dissents, reflecting uncertainty over the 2027 voting roster, incoming economic data on CPI and labor markets, and the balance between inflation risks and any softening in employment. Hawkish regional bank presidents continue to signal preference for tighter policy, while forward-looking projections remain sensitive to Treasury yields and Fed funds rate expectations.

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$5,634
Дата окончания
27 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured elevated dissent levels, including three hawkish votes in July 2026 favoring a 25-basis-point rate hike amid sticky inflation above the 2% target and resilient domestic demand. With the January 2027 meeting still months away, trader-implied odds cluster tightly between one and three dissents, reflecting uncertainty over the 2027 voting roster, incoming economic data on CPI and labor markets, and the balance between inflation risks and any softening in employment. Hawkish regional bank presidents continue to signal preference for tighter policy, while forward-looking projections remain sensitive to Treasury yields and Fed funds rate expectations.

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$5,634
Дата окончания
27 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Связанные

icon for Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?

Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?

24%
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

62%
icon for Понизит ли ФРС ставку к заседанию в декабре 2026 года?

Понизит ли ФРС ставку к заседанию в декабре 2026 года?

12%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «2» с 24%, за ним следует «3» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 24¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 24%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?» — «2» с 24%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 24%. Следующий ближайший исход — «3» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.