Traders assign a 93.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the U.S. economy has shown sustained resilience through mid-2026, with inflation measures like the latest CPI readings trending toward the 2% target and labor market data reflecting steady employment without overheating. The Fed’s current policy stance favors gradual adjustments to the federal funds rate rather than abrupt moves, supported by solid GDP growth and contained financial market volatility. This consensus aligns with market pricing of a measured rate path through year-end. A sharp deterioration in economic indicators, such as a sudden spike in unemployment or a major external shock, could still prompt reconsideration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
7% вероятность
$136,863 Объем
$136,863 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
7% вероятность
$136,863 Объем
$136,863 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 93.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the U.S. economy has shown sustained resilience through mid-2026, with inflation measures like the latest CPI readings trending toward the 2% target and labor market data reflecting steady employment without overheating. The Fed’s current policy stance favors gradual adjustments to the federal funds rate rather than abrupt moves, supported by solid GDP growth and contained financial market volatility. This consensus aligns with market pricing of a measured rate path through year-end. A sharp deterioration in economic indicators, such as a sudden spike in unemployment or a major external shock, could still prompt reconsideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Объем
$136,863Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 93.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the U.S. economy has shown sustained resilience through mid-2026, with inflation measures like the latest CPI readings trending toward the 2% target and labor market data reflecting steady employment without overheating. The Fed’s current policy stance favors gradual adjustments to the federal funds rate rather than abrupt moves, supported by solid GDP growth and contained financial market volatility. This consensus aligns with market pricing of a measured rate path through year-end. A sharp deterioration in economic indicators, such as a sudden spike in unemployment or a major external shock, could still prompt reconsideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Объем
$136,863Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 93.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the U.S. economy has shown sustained resilience through mid-2026, with inflation measures like the latest CPI readings trending toward the 2% target and labor market data reflecting steady employment without overheating. The Fed’s current policy stance favors gradual adjustments to the federal funds rate rather than abrupt moves, supported by solid GDP growth and contained financial market volatility. This consensus aligns with market pricing of a measured rate path through year-end. A sharp deterioration in economic indicators, such as a sudden spike in unemployment or a major external shock, could still prompt reconsideration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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