The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.47% on May 13, 2026, propelled by April CPI inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—versus 3.3% in March, with core at 2.8%, underscoring sticky price pressures from energy and services amid robust labor data. The Federal Reserve has held the fed funds target at 3.5%-3.75% for its third straight meeting, tempering rate-cut expectations and steepening the yield curve as 10-year rates surpass the 2-year at 3.90%. Fiscal deficits, tariff risks, and geopolitical tensions further embed higher-for-longer inflation outlooks. Traders eye the June 16-17 FOMC and May CPI for catalysts, with the benchmark testing 4.5% resistance near its long-term 4.25% average.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНасколько высокой будет доходность 10-летних казначейских облигаций до 2027 года?
Насколько высокой будет доходность 10-летних казначейских облигаций до 2027 года?
$199,961 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
4,5%
97%
4,6%
54%
4,8%
23%
5,0%
11%
5,2%
9%
5,5%
7%
5,7%
7%
6,0%
5%
$199,961 Объем
4,5%
$31,871 Объем
97%
4,6%
$36,278 Объем
54%
4,8%
$47,062 Объем
23%
5,0%
$42,451 Объем
11%
5,2%
$8,584 Объем
9%
5,5%
$1,448 Объем
7%
5,7%
$3,229 Объем
7%
6,0%
$2,070 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.47% on May 13, 2026, propelled by April CPI inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—versus 3.3% in March, with core at 2.8%, underscoring sticky price pressures from energy and services amid robust labor data. The Federal Reserve has held the fed funds target at 3.5%-3.75% for its third straight meeting, tempering rate-cut expectations and steepening the yield curve as 10-year rates surpass the 2-year at 3.90%. Fiscal deficits, tariff risks, and geopolitical tensions further embed higher-for-longer inflation outlooks. Traders eye the June 16-17 FOMC and May CPI for catalysts, with the benchmark testing 4.5% resistance near its long-term 4.25% average.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Объем
$199,961Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.47% on May 13, 2026, propelled by April CPI inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—versus 3.3% in March, with core at 2.8%, underscoring sticky price pressures from energy and services amid robust labor data. The Federal Reserve has held the fed funds target at 3.5%-3.75% for its third straight meeting, tempering rate-cut expectations and steepening the yield curve as 10-year rates surpass the 2-year at 3.90%. Fiscal deficits, tariff risks, and geopolitical tensions further embed higher-for-longer inflation outlooks. Traders eye the June 16-17 FOMC and May CPI for catalysts, with the benchmark testing 4.5% resistance near its long-term 4.25% average.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Объем
$199,961Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.47% on May 13, 2026, propelled by April CPI inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—versus 3.3% in March, with core at 2.8%, underscoring sticky price pressures from energy and services amid robust labor data. The Federal Reserve has held the fed funds target at 3.5%-3.75% for its third straight meeting, tempering rate-cut expectations and steepening the yield curve as 10-year rates surpass the 2-year at 3.90%. Fiscal deficits, tariff risks, and geopolitical tensions further embed higher-for-longer inflation outlooks. Traders eye the June 16-17 FOMC and May CPI for catalysts, with the benchmark testing 4.5% resistance near its long-term 4.25% average.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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