The absence of legislative progress on abolition proposals, such as the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act introduced in 2025, drives the 98.6% implied probability traders assign to the outcome not occurring before 2027. These bills remain stalled in committee with no floor votes or broad bipartisan backing, reflecting longstanding institutional barriers including the need for congressional majorities, presidential approval, and extensive restructuring of monetary policy functions. Recent focus has centered on Fed accountability measures and leadership transitions rather than repeal. While a severe financial crisis or unexpected policy realignment could theoretically revive debate within the resolution window, the scale of required changes and absence of momentum sustain the current trader consensus.