Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 2026, lifting the year-over-year rate to 1.2% and exceeding prior expectations. This resilience, alongside positive survey indicators and upward revisions to domestic demand components, prompted the ECB staff’s September 2026 projections to raise full-year 2026 GDP growth to 0.9%, from 0.8% in June. Quarterly growth is projected to moderate to around 0.2% in Q3 on an adjusted basis amid energy-price pressures and seasonal factors, keeping the implied year-over-year outcome centered in the 0.8-1.1% band. Trader positioning reflects these data surprises and the ECB’s modestly improved baseline, with limited probability assigned to sub-0.4% or above-1.5% prints given the narrow range of official and consensus forecasts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0.8-1.1% 55%
1.2-1.5% 25.6%
0.4-0.7% 13.5%
0.0-0.3% 5.3%
$62,959 Объем
$62,959 Объем
30 окт. 2026 г.
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
5%
0.4-0.7%
14%
0.8-1.1%
55%
1.2-1.5%
26%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 55%
1.2-1.5% 25.6%
0.4-0.7% 13.5%
0.0-0.3% 5.3%
$62,959 Объем
$62,959 Объем
30 окт. 2026 г.
<0.0%
$1,774 Объем
1%
0.0-0.3%
$1,692 Объем
5%
0.4-0.7%
$9,978 Объем
14%
0.8-1.1%
$42,785 Объем
55%
1.2-1.5%
$3,591 Объем
26%
1.6-1.9%
$1,702 Объем
<1%
2.0%+
$1,437 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 2026, lifting the year-over-year rate to 1.2% and exceeding prior expectations. This resilience, alongside positive survey indicators and upward revisions to domestic demand components, prompted the ECB staff’s September 2026 projections to raise full-year 2026 GDP growth to 0.9%, from 0.8% in June. Quarterly growth is projected to moderate to around 0.2% in Q3 on an adjusted basis amid energy-price pressures and seasonal factors, keeping the implied year-over-year outcome centered in the 0.8-1.1% band. Trader positioning reflects these data surprises and the ECB’s modestly improved baseline, with limited probability assigned to sub-0.4% or above-1.5% prints given the narrow range of official and consensus forecasts.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Объем
$62,959Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 2026, lifting the year-over-year rate to 1.2% and exceeding prior expectations. This resilience, alongside positive survey indicators and upward revisions to domestic demand components, prompted the ECB staff’s September 2026 projections to raise full-year 2026 GDP growth to 0.9%, from 0.8% in June. Quarterly growth is projected to moderate to around 0.2% in Q3 on an adjusted basis amid energy-price pressures and seasonal factors, keeping the implied year-over-year outcome centered in the 0.8-1.1% band. Trader positioning reflects these data surprises and the ECB’s modestly improved baseline, with limited probability assigned to sub-0.4% or above-1.5% prints given the narrow range of official and consensus forecasts.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$62,959Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 2026, lifting the year-over-year rate to 1.2% and exceeding prior expectations. This resilience, alongside positive survey indicators and upward revisions to domestic demand components, prompted the ECB staff’s September 2026 projections to raise full-year 2026 GDP growth to 0.9%, from 0.8% in June. Quarterly growth is projected to moderate to around 0.2% in Q3 on an adjusted basis amid energy-price pressures and seasonal factors, keeping the implied year-over-year outcome centered in the 0.8-1.1% band. Trader positioning reflects these data surprises and the ECB’s modestly improved baseline, with limited probability assigned to sub-0.4% or above-1.5% prints given the narrow range of official and consensus forecasts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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