Recent economic data releases and Federal Reserve communications have created a tight distribution of implied probabilities across dissent counts for the September 2026 FOMC meeting, with three dissents at 28.5% leading narrowly. Persistent inflation readings above target alongside softening labor market indicators have produced divergent views among policymakers on the appropriate pace of policy easing, preventing any single outcome from dominating. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of how closely aligned voting members remain on the balance of risks, with upcoming August employment and CPI figures likely to serve as the decisive swing factors. Historical patterns show dissent levels rising when growth and price data send mixed signals, underscoring the current uncertainty in the rate path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?
Сколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
1 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
0
12%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4+
20%
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
1 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
0
$692 Объем
12%
1
$252 Объем
16%
2
$233 Объем
18%
3
$2,025 Объем
29%
4+
$262 Объем
20%
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent economic data releases and Federal Reserve communications have created a tight distribution of implied probabilities across dissent counts for the September 2026 FOMC meeting, with three dissents at 28.5% leading narrowly. Persistent inflation readings above target alongside softening labor market indicators have produced divergent views among policymakers on the appropriate pace of policy easing, preventing any single outcome from dominating. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of how closely aligned voting members remain on the balance of risks, with upcoming August employment and CPI figures likely to serve as the decisive swing factors. Historical patterns show dissent levels rising when growth and price data send mixed signals, underscoring the current uncertainty in the rate path.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Объем
$3,463Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent economic data releases and Federal Reserve communications have created a tight distribution of implied probabilities across dissent counts for the September 2026 FOMC meeting, with three dissents at 28.5% leading narrowly. Persistent inflation readings above target alongside softening labor market indicators have produced divergent views among policymakers on the appropriate pace of policy easing, preventing any single outcome from dominating. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of how closely aligned voting members remain on the balance of risks, with upcoming August employment and CPI figures likely to serve as the decisive swing factors. Historical patterns show dissent levels rising when growth and price data send mixed signals, underscoring the current uncertainty in the rate path.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$3,463Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent economic data releases and Federal Reserve communications have created a tight distribution of implied probabilities across dissent counts for the September 2026 FOMC meeting, with three dissents at 28.5% leading narrowly. Persistent inflation readings above target alongside softening labor market indicators have produced divergent views among policymakers on the appropriate pace of policy easing, preventing any single outcome from dominating. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of how closely aligned voting members remain on the balance of risks, with upcoming August employment and CPI figures likely to serve as the decisive swing factors. Historical patterns show dissent levels rising when growth and price data send mixed signals, underscoring the current uncertainty in the rate path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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