The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed above 4.5%—its highest in a year—following April 2026 CPI data revealing 3.8% year-over-year inflation, up from 3.3% in March and the hottest print since 2023, fueled by energy pressures. This reacceleration tempers expectations for sharp declines, as the Federal Reserve held the fed funds rate steady at its April 28-29 FOMC meeting amid solid GDP growth, steady 4.3% unemployment, and modest 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains, with unusual internal dissent underscoring policy caution. Forecasts from major banks project gradual easing to around 4.1% by early 2027, assuming cooling inflation, though trader sentiment prices persistent upside risks. Key catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC and upcoming May CPI release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$214,175 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
3,9%
58%
3,8%
49%
3,7%
23%
3,6%
32%
3,5%
35%
3,0%
12%
2,0%
10%
1,0%
4%
$214,175 Объем
3,9%
$40,131 Объем
58%
3,8%
$39,331 Объем
49%
3,7%
$26,356 Объем
23%
3,6%
$4,730 Объем
32%
3,5%
$31,523 Объем
35%
3,0%
$446 Объем
12%
2,0%
$341 Объем
10%
1,0%
$39,559 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed above 4.5%—its highest in a year—following April 2026 CPI data revealing 3.8% year-over-year inflation, up from 3.3% in March and the hottest print since 2023, fueled by energy pressures. This reacceleration tempers expectations for sharp declines, as the Federal Reserve held the fed funds rate steady at its April 28-29 FOMC meeting amid solid GDP growth, steady 4.3% unemployment, and modest 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains, with unusual internal dissent underscoring policy caution. Forecasts from major banks project gradual easing to around 4.1% by early 2027, assuming cooling inflation, though trader sentiment prices persistent upside risks. Key catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC and upcoming May CPI release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Объем
$214,175Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed above 4.5%—its highest in a year—following April 2026 CPI data revealing 3.8% year-over-year inflation, up from 3.3% in March and the hottest print since 2023, fueled by energy pressures. This reacceleration tempers expectations for sharp declines, as the Federal Reserve held the fed funds rate steady at its April 28-29 FOMC meeting amid solid GDP growth, steady 4.3% unemployment, and modest 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains, with unusual internal dissent underscoring policy caution. Forecasts from major banks project gradual easing to around 4.1% by early 2027, assuming cooling inflation, though trader sentiment prices persistent upside risks. Key catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC and upcoming May CPI release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Объем
$214,175Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed above 4.5%—its highest in a year—following April 2026 CPI data revealing 3.8% year-over-year inflation, up from 3.3% in March and the hottest print since 2023, fueled by energy pressures. This reacceleration tempers expectations for sharp declines, as the Federal Reserve held the fed funds rate steady at its April 28-29 FOMC meeting amid solid GDP growth, steady 4.3% unemployment, and modest 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains, with unusual internal dissent underscoring policy caution. Forecasts from major banks project gradual easing to around 4.1% by early 2027, assuming cooling inflation, though trader sentiment prices persistent upside risks. Key catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC and upcoming May CPI release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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