Recent core-core CPI readings, which exclude fresh food and energy, have hovered between 1.7% and 1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data showing a modest uptick to 2.0% in August. This trajectory reflects fading base effects from prior energy subsidies alongside persistent but contained pressures from yen weakness, rising import costs, and AI-driven semiconductor demand. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects underlying inflation gradually aligning with its 2% target through fiscal 2026-2027, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 2.0-2.4% band. Trader positioning incorporates upcoming monthly releases and the September 17-18 FOMC-equivalent policy meeting, where further rate normalization could influence wage-price dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2.0-2.4% 57%
≤1.9% 32%
2.5-2.9% 10.0%
3,0–3,4% 2.4%
$54,440 Объем
$54,440 Объем
12 фев. 2027 г.
≤1.9%
32%
2.0-2.4%
57%
2.5-2.9%
10%
3,0–3,4%
2%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4,0%+
1%
2.0-2.4% 57%
≤1.9% 32%
2.5-2.9% 10.0%
3,0–3,4% 2.4%
$54,440 Объем
$54,440 Объем
12 фев. 2027 г.
≤1.9%
$16,089 Объем
32%
2.0-2.4%
$22,970 Объем
57%
2.5-2.9%
$10,393 Объем
10%
3,0–3,4%
$1,625 Объем
2%
3.5-3.9%
$1,485 Объем
<1%
4,0%+
$1,878 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent core-core CPI readings, which exclude fresh food and energy, have hovered between 1.7% and 1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data showing a modest uptick to 2.0% in August. This trajectory reflects fading base effects from prior energy subsidies alongside persistent but contained pressures from yen weakness, rising import costs, and AI-driven semiconductor demand. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects underlying inflation gradually aligning with its 2% target through fiscal 2026-2027, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 2.0-2.4% band. Trader positioning incorporates upcoming monthly releases and the September 17-18 FOMC-equivalent policy meeting, where further rate normalization could influence wage-price dynamics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Объем
$54,440Дата окончания
12 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent core-core CPI readings, which exclude fresh food and energy, have hovered between 1.7% and 1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data showing a modest uptick to 2.0% in August. This trajectory reflects fading base effects from prior energy subsidies alongside persistent but contained pressures from yen weakness, rising import costs, and AI-driven semiconductor demand. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects underlying inflation gradually aligning with its 2% target through fiscal 2026-2027, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 2.0-2.4% band. Trader positioning incorporates upcoming monthly releases and the September 17-18 FOMC-equivalent policy meeting, where further rate normalization could influence wage-price dynamics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Объем
$54,440Дата окончания
12 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent core-core CPI readings, which exclude fresh food and energy, have hovered between 1.7% and 1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data showing a modest uptick to 2.0% in August. This trajectory reflects fading base effects from prior energy subsidies alongside persistent but contained pressures from yen weakness, rising import costs, and AI-driven semiconductor demand. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects underlying inflation gradually aligning with its 2% target through fiscal 2026-2027, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 2.0-2.4% band. Trader positioning incorporates upcoming monthly releases and the September 17-18 FOMC-equivalent policy meeting, where further rate normalization could influence wage-price dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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