Recent sub-2% monthly prints have anchored trader consensus around the 2.0-2.4% band for Japan's 2026 core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy). August national data showed core CPI at 1.7% YoY and core-core at 1.9% YoY, the eighth consecutive month below the Bank of Japan's 2% target, as energy subsidies offset pass-through from higher oil prices tied to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen. The BOJ's July fiscal-year outlook projected core inflation near 2.5%, a modest downward revision, while signaling further rate normalization to 1.25% or higher. Subdued wage-price dynamics and favorable base effects have limited upside so far, keeping the full-year average in the low-2% range despite expectations of a pickup later in 2026. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming labor data, subsidy extensions, and BOJ communications on underlying demand pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2.0-2.4% 79%
≤1.9% 21%
2.5-2.9% 2.0%
3,0–3,4% <1%
$60,067 Объем
$60,067 Объем
12 фев. 2027 г.
≤1.9%
21%
2.0-2.4%
79%
2.5-2.9%
2%
3,0–3,4%
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4,0%+
<1%
2.0-2.4% 79%
≤1.9% 21%
2.5-2.9% 2.0%
3,0–3,4% <1%
$60,067 Объем
$60,067 Объем
12 фев. 2027 г.
≤1.9%
$16,932 Объем
21%
2.0-2.4%
$25,974 Объем
79%
2.5-2.9%
$11,279 Объем
2%
3,0–3,4%
$2,375 Объем
<1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,485 Объем
<1%
4,0%+
$2,022 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent sub-2% monthly prints have anchored trader consensus around the 2.0-2.4% band for Japan's 2026 core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy). August national data showed core CPI at 1.7% YoY and core-core at 1.9% YoY, the eighth consecutive month below the Bank of Japan's 2% target, as energy subsidies offset pass-through from higher oil prices tied to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen. The BOJ's July fiscal-year outlook projected core inflation near 2.5%, a modest downward revision, while signaling further rate normalization to 1.25% or higher. Subdued wage-price dynamics and favorable base effects have limited upside so far, keeping the full-year average in the low-2% range despite expectations of a pickup later in 2026. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming labor data, subsidy extensions, and BOJ communications on underlying demand pressures.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Объем
$60,067Дата окончания
12 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent sub-2% monthly prints have anchored trader consensus around the 2.0-2.4% band for Japan's 2026 core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy). August national data showed core CPI at 1.7% YoY and core-core at 1.9% YoY, the eighth consecutive month below the Bank of Japan's 2% target, as energy subsidies offset pass-through from higher oil prices tied to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen. The BOJ's July fiscal-year outlook projected core inflation near 2.5%, a modest downward revision, while signaling further rate normalization to 1.25% or higher. Subdued wage-price dynamics and favorable base effects have limited upside so far, keeping the full-year average in the low-2% range despite expectations of a pickup later in 2026. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming labor data, subsidy extensions, and BOJ communications on underlying demand pressures.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Объем
$60,067Дата окончания
12 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent sub-2% monthly prints have anchored trader consensus around the 2.0-2.4% band for Japan's 2026 core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy). August national data showed core CPI at 1.7% YoY and core-core at 1.9% YoY, the eighth consecutive month below the Bank of Japan's 2% target, as energy subsidies offset pass-through from higher oil prices tied to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen. The BOJ's July fiscal-year outlook projected core inflation near 2.5%, a modest downward revision, while signaling further rate normalization to 1.25% or higher. Subdued wage-price dynamics and favorable base effects have limited upside so far, keeping the full-year average in the low-2% range despite expectations of a pickup later in 2026. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming labor data, subsidy extensions, and BOJ communications on underlying demand pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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