Trader sentiment on Mexico's 2026 annual inflation clusters tightly around the mid-4% range, with 37% implied probability for 4.50%-4.99% edging out 36.5% for 4.00%-4.49%, reflecting April's headline CPI easing to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59% peak—driven by seasonal electricity subsidies and softer food prices—yet sticky core inflation above 4% signaling persistent pressures. Banxico's split 3-2 decision on May 7 to cut the policy rate 25 basis points to 6.50% underscores caution, ending a prolonged easing cycle amid elevated inflation expectations averaging 4.37% for year-end per economist consensus. Key differentiators include core services momentum versus headline disinflation trajectory, with May CPI data and the June monetary policy meeting poised as pivotal catalysts for breaking the deadlock.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,50% до 4,99% 59%
5,00% до 5,49% 18.5%
От 3,50% до 3,99% 16.2%
5,50%+ 10%
$41,174 Объем
$41,174 Объем
8 янв. 2027 г.
<2,50%
5%
2,50%–2,99%
<1%
3,00% до 3,49%
7%
От 3,50% до 3,99%
9%
4,00% – 4,49%
40%
4,50% до 4,99%
38%
5,00% до 5,49%
19%
5,50%+
10%
4,50% до 4,99% 59%
5,00% до 5,49% 18.5%
От 3,50% до 3,99% 16.2%
5,50%+ 10%
$41,174 Объем
$41,174 Объем
8 янв. 2027 г.
<2,50%
$494 Объем
5%
2,50%–2,99%
$4,115 Объем
<1%
3,00% до 3,49%
$25,948 Объем
7%
От 3,50% до 3,99%
$396 Объем
9%
4,00% – 4,49%
$493 Объем
40%
4,50% до 4,99%
$3,533 Объем
38%
5,00% до 5,49%
$1,175 Объем
19%
5,50%+
$5,020 Объем
10%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioTrader sentiment on Mexico's 2026 annual inflation clusters tightly around the mid-4% range, with 37% implied probability for 4.50%-4.99% edging out 36.5% for 4.00%-4.49%, reflecting April's headline CPI easing to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59% peak—driven by seasonal electricity subsidies and softer food prices—yet sticky core inflation above 4% signaling persistent pressures. Banxico's split 3-2 decision on May 7 to cut the policy rate 25 basis points to 6.50% underscores caution, ending a prolonged easing cycle amid elevated inflation expectations averaging 4.37% for year-end per economist consensus. Key differentiators include core services momentum versus headline disinflation trajectory, with May CPI data and the June monetary policy meeting poised as pivotal catalysts for breaking the deadlock.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Объем
$41,174Дата окончания
8 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioTrader sentiment on Mexico's 2026 annual inflation clusters tightly around the mid-4% range, with 37% implied probability for 4.50%-4.99% edging out 36.5% for 4.00%-4.49%, reflecting April's headline CPI easing to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59% peak—driven by seasonal electricity subsidies and softer food prices—yet sticky core inflation above 4% signaling persistent pressures. Banxico's split 3-2 decision on May 7 to cut the policy rate 25 basis points to 6.50% underscores caution, ending a prolonged easing cycle amid elevated inflation expectations averaging 4.37% for year-end per economist consensus. Key differentiators include core services momentum versus headline disinflation trajectory, with May CPI data and the June monetary policy meeting poised as pivotal catalysts for breaking the deadlock.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Объем
$41,174Дата окончания
8 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Mexico's 2026 annual inflation clusters tightly around the mid-4% range, with 37% implied probability for 4.50%-4.99% edging out 36.5% for 4.00%-4.49%, reflecting April's headline CPI easing to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59% peak—driven by seasonal electricity subsidies and softer food prices—yet sticky core inflation above 4% signaling persistent pressures. Banxico's split 3-2 decision on May 7 to cut the policy rate 25 basis points to 6.50% underscores caution, ending a prolonged easing cycle amid elevated inflation expectations averaging 4.37% for year-end per economist consensus. Key differentiators include core services momentum versus headline disinflation trajectory, with May CPI data and the June monetary policy meeting poised as pivotal catalysts for breaking the deadlock.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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