Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability that Anthropic surpasses OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven primarily by reports of Anthropic's early-stage talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion to $950 billion post-money valuation—exceeding OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31, 2026, $122 billion raise. Surging revenue run rates and unsolicited investor proposals have fueled Anthropic's aggressive valuation push since its February $380 billion round, while OpenAI faces investor scrutiny over strategy shifts amid no new capital announcements. Traders eye round closure by late May as the pivotal catalyst, with secondary market trading implying Anthropic north of $1 trillion already.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$59,182 Объем
$59,182 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
$59,182 Объем
$59,182 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability that Anthropic surpasses OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven primarily by reports of Anthropic's early-stage talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion to $950 billion post-money valuation—exceeding OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31, 2026, $122 billion raise. Surging revenue run rates and unsolicited investor proposals have fueled Anthropic's aggressive valuation push since its February $380 billion round, while OpenAI faces investor scrutiny over strategy shifts amid no new capital announcements. Traders eye round closure by late May as the pivotal catalyst, with secondary market trading implying Anthropic north of $1 trillion already.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Объем
$59,182Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability that Anthropic surpasses OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven primarily by reports of Anthropic's early-stage talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion to $950 billion post-money valuation—exceeding OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31, 2026, $122 billion raise. Surging revenue run rates and unsolicited investor proposals have fueled Anthropic's aggressive valuation push since its February $380 billion round, while OpenAI faces investor scrutiny over strategy shifts amid no new capital announcements. Traders eye round closure by late May as the pivotal catalyst, with secondary market trading implying Anthropic north of $1 trillion already.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$59,182Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability that Anthropic surpasses OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven primarily by reports of Anthropic's early-stage talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion to $950 billion post-money valuation—exceeding OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31, 2026, $122 billion raise. Surging revenue run rates and unsolicited investor proposals have fueled Anthropic's aggressive valuation push since its February $380 billion round, while OpenAI faces investor scrutiny over strategy shifts amid no new capital announcements. Traders eye round closure by late May as the pivotal catalyst, with secondary market trading implying Anthropic north of $1 trillion already.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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