Traders overwhelmingly back Anthropic for second-best coding AI by end of May because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6 large language models continue to lead verified benchmarks such as SWE-bench Pro, outperforming rivals on complex, multi-file GitHub issues and agentic workflows. Recent developer events like Code with Claude have highlighted practical strengths in instruction-following and long-context engineering, sustaining momentum against OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and xAI’s Grok releases. With resolution just weeks away, the 92% implied probability reflects trader assessment of current capability gaps. A surprise model update or benchmark reversal from OpenAI or xAI before month-end remains the main scenario that could shift positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?
Anthropic 92.7%
xAI 2.3%
OpenAI 1.7%
Google 1.0%
$34,568 Объем
$34,568 Объем

Anthropic
93%

xAI
2%

OpenAI
2%

1%

Meta
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 92.7%
xAI 2.3%
OpenAI 1.7%
Google 1.0%
$34,568 Объем
$34,568 Объем

Anthropic
93%

xAI
2%

OpenAI
2%

1%

Meta
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back Anthropic for second-best coding AI by end of May because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6 large language models continue to lead verified benchmarks such as SWE-bench Pro, outperforming rivals on complex, multi-file GitHub issues and agentic workflows. Recent developer events like Code with Claude have highlighted practical strengths in instruction-following and long-context engineering, sustaining momentum against OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and xAI’s Grok releases. With resolution just weeks away, the 92% implied probability reflects trader assessment of current capability gaps. A surprise model update or benchmark reversal from OpenAI or xAI before month-end remains the main scenario that could shift positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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