Alibaba leads trader consensus at 53 percent due to its accelerated rollout of updated Qwen-series models and a dedicated video-generation release that outperformed key rivals in recent benchmarks, alongside reported cloud-revenue gains from enterprise AI adoption. Baidu trails at 37 percent on the strength of its ERNIE 5.1 leaderboard position from late April, yet has seen fewer incremental model advances in the past month. Smaller shares for Z.ai, ByteDance, and DeepSeek reflect their narrower recent benchmark gains and more limited enterprise deployment momentum. Resolution hinges on the final Chatbot Arena ranking among Chinese-owned models at month-end, where Alibaba’s ongoing infrastructure investments and open-source ecosystem growth have narrowed the gap with prior frontrunners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBest Chinese AI Company end of May?
Alibaba 53%
Baidu 36%
Z.ai 6%
ByteDance 3.0%
$124,020 Объем
$124,020 Объем

Alibaba
53%

Baidu
36%

Z.ai
6%

ByteDance
3%

DeepSeek
1%

MiniMax
1%

Xiaomi
1%

Moonshot
1%

Tencent
<1%

Meituan
<1%

StepFun
<1%
Alibaba 53%
Baidu 36%
Z.ai 6%
ByteDance 3.0%
$124,020 Объем
$124,020 Объем

Alibaba
53%

Baidu
36%

Z.ai
6%

ByteDance
3%

DeepSeek
1%

MiniMax
1%

Xiaomi
1%

Moonshot
1%

Tencent
<1%

Meituan
<1%

StepFun
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alibaba leads trader consensus at 53 percent due to its accelerated rollout of updated Qwen-series models and a dedicated video-generation release that outperformed key rivals in recent benchmarks, alongside reported cloud-revenue gains from enterprise AI adoption. Baidu trails at 37 percent on the strength of its ERNIE 5.1 leaderboard position from late April, yet has seen fewer incremental model advances in the past month. Smaller shares for Z.ai, ByteDance, and DeepSeek reflect their narrower recent benchmark gains and more limited enterprise deployment momentum. Resolution hinges on the final Chatbot Arena ranking among Chinese-owned models at month-end, where Alibaba’s ongoing infrastructure investments and open-source ecosystem growth have narrowed the gap with prior frontrunners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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