Recent livestreams of Figure's F.03 humanoids sorting packages autonomously with the Helix-02 neural network have already surpassed 24 to 50 hours of continuous operation without triggering the defined failure threshold of two minutes without package movement. This real-time performance, enabled by the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller and multi-robot failover, has lifted trader consensus toward the 200h+ outcome at 50% implied probability. April's production ramp to one robot per hour, backed by over 1,250 hours of fleet data and stress testing, supports higher mean time between failures. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential battery swaps every few hours, gripper wear, or perception edge cases as the test continues toward its May 21 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКак долго роботы Figure F.03 будут работать без сбоев?
Как долго роботы Figure F.03 будут работать без сбоев?
200ч+ 55%
50–100 ч 22%
100-200ч 20%
$65,585 Объем
$65,585 Объем
21 мая 2026 г.
50–100 ч
22%
100-200ч
20%
200ч+
50%
200ч+ 55%
50–100 ч 22%
100-200ч 20%
$65,585 Объем
$65,585 Объем
21 мая 2026 г.
50–100 ч
$3,150 Объем
22%
100-200ч
$2,364 Объем
20%
200ч+
$8,265 Объем
50%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent livestreams of Figure's F.03 humanoids sorting packages autonomously with the Helix-02 neural network have already surpassed 24 to 50 hours of continuous operation without triggering the defined failure threshold of two minutes without package movement. This real-time performance, enabled by the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller and multi-robot failover, has lifted trader consensus toward the 200h+ outcome at 50% implied probability. April's production ramp to one robot per hour, backed by over 1,250 hours of fleet data and stress testing, supports higher mean time between failures. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential battery swaps every few hours, gripper wear, or perception edge cases as the test continues toward its May 21 resolution.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Объем
$65,585Дата окончания
21 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent livestreams of Figure's F.03 humanoids sorting packages autonomously with the Helix-02 neural network have already surpassed 24 to 50 hours of continuous operation without triggering the defined failure threshold of two minutes without package movement. This real-time performance, enabled by the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller and multi-robot failover, has lifted trader consensus toward the 200h+ outcome at 50% implied probability. April's production ramp to one robot per hour, backed by over 1,250 hours of fleet data and stress testing, supports higher mean time between failures. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential battery swaps every few hours, gripper wear, or perception edge cases as the test continues toward its May 21 resolution.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$65,585Дата окончания
21 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent livestreams of Figure's F.03 humanoids sorting packages autonomously with the Helix-02 neural network have already surpassed 24 to 50 hours of continuous operation without triggering the defined failure threshold of two minutes without package movement. This real-time performance, enabled by the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller and multi-robot failover, has lifted trader consensus toward the 200h+ outcome at 50% implied probability. April's production ramp to one robot per hour, backed by over 1,250 hours of fleet data and stress testing, supports higher mean time between failures. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential battery swaps every few hours, gripper wear, or perception edge cases as the test continues toward its May 21 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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