Anthropic currently holds the leading position on major AI benchmarks with Claude Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5 variants topping leaderboards as of mid-August 2026, driven by July releases that advanced reasoning and agentic capabilities ahead of rivals. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series remains competitive in second place, while Google, xAI, and others trail on quality metrics despite recent updates like Grok 4.6 and Gemini 3.7 Flash. Multiple frontier labs plan further releases before year-end, including potential Anthropic and xAI drops in the coming weeks, creating opportunities for capability shifts that could alter which company claims the top model by December 31. Traders should monitor benchmark updates and official announcements for signs of momentum changes in this fast-evolving landscape.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие компании будут иметь модель искусственного интеллекта №1 к 31 декабря?
Какие компании будут иметь модель искусственного интеллекта №1 к 31 декабря?
$120,613 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
OpenAI
36%
20%
Alibaba
13%
Meta
13%
xAI
13%
Z.ai
9%
Moonshot
8%
ByteDance
8%
DeepSeek
8%
Amazon
8%
Microsoft
8%
Baidu
7%
Meituan
6%
Mistral
3%
$120,613 Объем
OpenAI
$22,548 Объем
36%
$17,193 Объем
20%
Alibaba
$3,366 Объем
13%
Meta
$14,909 Объем
13%
xAI
$8,870 Объем
13%
Z.ai
$2,568 Объем
9%
Moonshot
$7,562 Объем
8%
ByteDance
$2,876 Объем
8%
DeepSeek
$20,584 Объем
8%
Amazon
$2,787 Объем
8%
Microsoft
$3,519 Объем
8%
Baidu
$1,958 Объем
7%
Meituan
$2,435 Объем
6%
Mistral
$9,437 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic currently holds the leading position on major AI benchmarks with Claude Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5 variants topping leaderboards as of mid-August 2026, driven by July releases that advanced reasoning and agentic capabilities ahead of rivals. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series remains competitive in second place, while Google, xAI, and others trail on quality metrics despite recent updates like Grok 4.6 and Gemini 3.7 Flash. Multiple frontier labs plan further releases before year-end, including potential Anthropic and xAI drops in the coming weeks, creating opportunities for capability shifts that could alter which company claims the top model by December 31. Traders should monitor benchmark updates and official announcements for signs of momentum changes in this fast-evolving landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Объем
$120,613Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic currently holds the leading position on major AI benchmarks with Claude Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5 variants topping leaderboards as of mid-August 2026, driven by July releases that advanced reasoning and agentic capabilities ahead of rivals. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series remains competitive in second place, while Google, xAI, and others trail on quality metrics despite recent updates like Grok 4.6 and Gemini 3.7 Flash. Multiple frontier labs plan further releases before year-end, including potential Anthropic and xAI drops in the coming weeks, creating opportunities for capability shifts that could alter which company claims the top model by December 31. Traders should monitor benchmark updates and official announcements for signs of momentum changes in this fast-evolving landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$120,613Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic currently holds the leading position on major AI benchmarks with Claude Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5 variants topping leaderboards as of mid-August 2026, driven by July releases that advanced reasoning and agentic capabilities ahead of rivals. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series remains competitive in second place, while Google, xAI, and others trail on quality metrics despite recent updates like Grok 4.6 and Gemini 3.7 Flash. Multiple frontier labs plan further releases before year-end, including potential Anthropic and xAI drops in the coming weeks, creating opportunities for capability shifts that could alter which company claims the top model by December 31. Traders should monitor benchmark updates and official announcements for signs of momentum changes in this fast-evolving landscape.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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