OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI continue to drive the frontier AI race with no single company holding undisputed leadership as of mid-2026. Claude Opus variants frequently top intelligence and coding benchmarks, while Gemini models lead in reasoning metrics like GPQA and multimodal tasks, and GPT-5 series maintain broad adoption and ecosystem strength. Grok 4 remains competitive in real-time capabilities. Fragmented performance across use cases, frequent model iterations, and benchmark shifts create ongoing uncertainty. Traders watch for late-year releases, capability demonstrations, and third-party evaluations that could establish a new #1 before December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие компании будут иметь модель искусственного интеллекта №1 к 31 декабря?
$119,657 Объем
OpenAI
35%
20%
Alibaba
13%
Meta
13%
xAI
13%
Moonshot
11%
Z.ai
9%
ByteDance
8%
DeepSeek
8%
Amazon
8%
Microsoft
8%
Baidu
7%
Meituan
6%
Mistral
3%
$119,657 Объем
OpenAI
35%
20%
Alibaba
13%
Meta
13%
xAI
13%
Moonshot
11%
Z.ai
9%
ByteDance
8%
DeepSeek
8%
Amazon
8%
Microsoft
8%
Baidu
7%
Meituan
6%
Mistral
3%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI continue to drive the frontier AI race with no single company holding undisputed leadership as of mid-2026. Claude Opus variants frequently top intelligence and coding benchmarks, while Gemini models lead in reasoning metrics like GPQA and multimodal tasks, and GPT-5 series maintain broad adoption and ecosystem strength. Grok 4 remains competitive in real-time capabilities. Fragmented performance across use cases, frequent model iterations, and benchmark shifts create ongoing uncertainty. Traders watch for late-year releases, capability demonstrations, and third-party evaluations that could establish a new #1 before December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы