Alibaba’s rapid Qwen iteration continues to shape expectations for a 3.9+ Max release. The company made Qwen3.8-Max generally available via API on August 3, 2026—a 2.4-trillion-parameter MoE model with 95B active parameters, native multimodal support, and 1M-token context—positioning it competitively with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 on agentic and coding benchmarks. Open weights followed days later, marking the first time a Max-class model moved to open release. Prior cadence shows Qwen3.7-Max in May, 3.6 checkpoints in April, and earlier 3.x variants arriving in quick succession through 2026. No official timeline exists for 3.9+, but Alibaba’s pattern of previewing at events such as WAIC or the Apsara Summit and emphasizing open-source strategy suggests the next flagship could arrive before year-end or in early 2027, depending on competitive pressure from labs like Moonshot and DeepSeek.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующая Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) выпущена...?
Следующая Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) выпущена...?
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
31 августа
29%
31 октября
47%
$0.00 Объем
31 августа
$0 Объем
29%
31 октября
$0 Объем
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Max model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Alibaba’s rapid Qwen iteration continues to shape expectations for a 3.9+ Max release. The company made Qwen3.8-Max generally available via API on August 3, 2026—a 2.4-trillion-parameter MoE model with 95B active parameters, native multimodal support, and 1M-token context—positioning it competitively with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 on agentic and coding benchmarks. Open weights followed days later, marking the first time a Max-class model moved to open release. Prior cadence shows Qwen3.7-Max in May, 3.6 checkpoints in April, and earlier 3.x variants arriving in quick succession through 2026. No official timeline exists for 3.9+, but Alibaba’s pattern of previewing at events such as WAIC or the Apsara Summit and emphasizing open-source strategy suggests the next flagship could arrive before year-end or in early 2027, depending on competitive pressure from labs like Moonshot and DeepSeek.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Max model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Max model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Alibaba’s rapid Qwen iteration continues to shape expectations for a 3.9+ Max release. The company made Qwen3.8-Max generally available via API on August 3, 2026—a 2.4-trillion-parameter MoE model with 95B active parameters, native multimodal support, and 1M-token context—positioning it competitively with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 on agentic and coding benchmarks. Open weights followed days later, marking the first time a Max-class model moved to open release. Prior cadence shows Qwen3.7-Max in May, 3.6 checkpoints in April, and earlier 3.x variants arriving in quick succession through 2026. No official timeline exists for 3.9+, but Alibaba’s pattern of previewing at events such as WAIC or the Apsara Summit and emphasizing open-source strategy suggests the next flagship could arrive before year-end or in early 2027, depending on competitive pressure from labs like Moonshot and DeepSeek.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Max model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alibaba’s rapid Qwen iteration continues to shape expectations for a 3.9+ Max release. The company made Qwen3.8-Max generally available via API on August 3, 2026—a 2.4-trillion-parameter MoE model with 95B active parameters, native multimodal support, and 1M-token context—positioning it competitively with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 on agentic and coding benchmarks. Open weights followed days later, marking the first time a Max-class model moved to open release. Prior cadence shows Qwen3.7-Max in May, 3.6 checkpoints in April, and earlier 3.x variants arriving in quick succession through 2026. No official timeline exists for 3.9+, but Alibaba’s pattern of previewing at events such as WAIC or the Apsara Summit and emphasizing open-source strategy suggests the next flagship could arrive before year-end or in early 2027, depending on competitive pressure from labs like Moonshot and DeepSeek.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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