The dominant market-implied odds against any Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, stem from the company’s sustained private trajectory, fueled by multi-billion-dollar infusions from Amazon and Google that have kept valuation discussions firmly in closed funding rounds. Recent Claude model releases and internal scaling of large language model infrastructure show continued emphasis on long-term capability development over public-market readiness, with no official announcements or regulatory filings signaling a near-term listing. Traders see the private route as stable given Anthropic’s focus on AI safety research and enterprise partnerships, while historical patterns for similar AI labs indicate extended pre-IPO periods. A credible shift would require an unexpected executive statement, major strategic pivot, or sudden liquidity event that alters the current funding equilibrium.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРыночная капитализация закрытия антропного IPO
Рыночная капитализация закрытия антропного IPO
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года 98.6%
600 млрд+ <1%
<100 млрд <1%
300–400 млрд <1%
$1,295,674 Объем
$1,295,674 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
<1%
100–200 млрд
<1%
200–300 млрд
<1%
300–400 млрд
<1%
400–600 млрд
<1%
600 млрд+
1%
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года
99%
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года 98.6%
600 млрд+ <1%
<100 млрд <1%
300–400 млрд <1%
$1,295,674 Объем
$1,295,674 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
$262,957 Объем
<1%
100–200 млрд
$91,773 Объем
<1%
200–300 млрд
$147,406 Объем
<1%
300–400 млрд
$98,824 Объем
<1%
400–600 млрд
$161,109 Объем
<1%
600 млрд+
$285,375 Объем
1%
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года
$248,231 Объем
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The dominant market-implied odds against any Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, stem from the company’s sustained private trajectory, fueled by multi-billion-dollar infusions from Amazon and Google that have kept valuation discussions firmly in closed funding rounds. Recent Claude model releases and internal scaling of large language model infrastructure show continued emphasis on long-term capability development over public-market readiness, with no official announcements or regulatory filings signaling a near-term listing. Traders see the private route as stable given Anthropic’s focus on AI safety research and enterprise partnerships, while historical patterns for similar AI labs indicate extended pre-IPO periods. A credible shift would require an unexpected executive statement, major strategic pivot, or sudden liquidity event that alters the current funding equilibrium.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Объем
$1,295,674Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The dominant market-implied odds against any Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, stem from the company’s sustained private trajectory, fueled by multi-billion-dollar infusions from Amazon and Google that have kept valuation discussions firmly in closed funding rounds. Recent Claude model releases and internal scaling of large language model infrastructure show continued emphasis on long-term capability development over public-market readiness, with no official announcements or regulatory filings signaling a near-term listing. Traders see the private route as stable given Anthropic’s focus on AI safety research and enterprise partnerships, while historical patterns for similar AI labs indicate extended pre-IPO periods. A credible shift would require an unexpected executive statement, major strategic pivot, or sudden liquidity event that alters the current funding equilibrium.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$1,295,674Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The dominant market-implied odds against any Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, stem from the company’s sustained private trajectory, fueled by multi-billion-dollar infusions from Amazon and Google that have kept valuation discussions firmly in closed funding rounds. Recent Claude model releases and internal scaling of large language model infrastructure show continued emphasis on long-term capability development over public-market readiness, with no official announcements or regulatory filings signaling a near-term listing. Traders see the private route as stable given Anthropic’s focus on AI safety research and enterprise partnerships, while historical patterns for similar AI labs indicate extended pre-IPO periods. A credible shift would require an unexpected executive statement, major strategic pivot, or sudden liquidity event that alters the current funding equilibrium.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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