OpenAI's accelerated release cadence for its GPT-5 series large language models has traders betting heavily on the company to deliver GPT-5.6 first, following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5—its most capable agentic model yet for coding, reasoning, and real-world tasks—and GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's default on May 5. Backend leaks and internal reports confirm GPT-5.6 testing began immediately after, with development checkpoints underway amid a compressed 30-50 day cycle versus prior annual updates. Competitors like Anthropic (lagging on Claude Sonnet iterations) and Google (signaling Gemini 4.0) trail in demonstrated capabilities, though DeepSeek's recent open model spurred faster OpenAI progress. Watch for early June announcements or benchmarks that could shift sentiment before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоGPT-5.6 released by...?
GPT-5.6 released by...?
$39,708 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
15 мая
3%
31 мая
16%
22 мая
7%
June 30
85%
July 31
94%
$39,708 Объем
15 мая
$10,851 Объем
3%
31 мая
$14,110 Объем
16%
22 мая
$4,457 Объем
7%
June 30
$7,563 Объем
85%
July 31
$2,727 Объем
94%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated release cadence for its GPT-5 series large language models has traders betting heavily on the company to deliver GPT-5.6 first, following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5—its most capable agentic model yet for coding, reasoning, and real-world tasks—and GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's default on May 5. Backend leaks and internal reports confirm GPT-5.6 testing began immediately after, with development checkpoints underway amid a compressed 30-50 day cycle versus prior annual updates. Competitors like Anthropic (lagging on Claude Sonnet iterations) and Google (signaling Gemini 4.0) trail in demonstrated capabilities, though DeepSeek's recent open model spurred faster OpenAI progress. Watch for early June announcements or benchmarks that could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 1, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Объем
$39,708Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated release cadence for its GPT-5 series large language models has traders betting heavily on the company to deliver GPT-5.6 first, following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5—its most capable agentic model yet for coding, reasoning, and real-world tasks—and GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's default on May 5. Backend leaks and internal reports confirm GPT-5.6 testing began immediately after, with development checkpoints underway amid a compressed 30-50 day cycle versus prior annual updates. Competitors like Anthropic (lagging on Claude Sonnet iterations) and Google (signaling Gemini 4.0) trail in demonstrated capabilities, though DeepSeek's recent open model spurred faster OpenAI progress. Watch for early June announcements or benchmarks that could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$39,708Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's accelerated release cadence for its GPT-5 series large language models has traders betting heavily on the company to deliver GPT-5.6 first, following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5—its most capable agentic model yet for coding, reasoning, and real-world tasks—and GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's default on May 5. Backend leaks and internal reports confirm GPT-5.6 testing began immediately after, with development checkpoints underway amid a compressed 30-50 day cycle versus prior annual updates. Competitors like Anthropic (lagging on Claude Sonnet iterations) and Google (signaling Gemini 4.0) trail in demonstrated capabilities, though DeepSeek's recent open model spurred faster OpenAI progress. Watch for early June announcements or benchmarks that could shift sentiment before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы