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Технологии·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Технологии·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

дек. 31

дек. 31

$14,350 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$14,350 Объем

Polymarket

Tampa, FL

$1,629 Объем

89%

San Diego, CA

$531 Объем

83%

Las Vegas, NV

$1,704 Объем

83%

Charlotte, NC

$75 Объем

61%

Sacramento, CA

$387 Объем

46%

St. Louis, MO

$0 Объем

49%

Philadelphia, PA

$0 Объем

46%

Detroit, MI

$95 Объем

46%

Chicago, IL

$742 Объем

42%

Baltimore, MD

$477 Объем

32%

New York, NY

$399 Объем

33%

Washington, DC

$1,107 Объем

22%

Minneapolis, MN

$1,481 Объем

21%

Portland, OR

$2,295 Объем

11%

Boston, MA

$2,905 Объем

10%

Denver, CO

$209 Объем

53%

Pittsburgh, PA

$104 Объем

57%

New Orleans, LA

$61 Объем

48%

Tokyo, Japan

$20 Объем

41%

London, UK

$74 Объем

41%

Seattle, WA

$57 Объем

49%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo's rapid 2026 expansion, fueled by a $16 billion funding round and proven driverless operations in core markets like San Francisco and Phoenix, is the main driver behind trader sentiment on new city launches by year-end. The company has initiated or completed commercial robotaxi service in multiple additional cities including Miami, Orlando, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Denver, Las Vegas, San Diego, and Tampa following regulatory clearances and fleet scaling. Plans also target Detroit, Nashville, Washington DC, plus initial international entries in London and Tokyo testing. Key near-term catalysts include further state-level approvals, supply chain capacity for the new Ojai vehicle, and competitive pressure from rivals like Zoox. Uncertainties around edge-case handling in varied geographies and permitting timelines could still shift outcomes for marginal markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$14,350
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo's rapid 2026 expansion, fueled by a $16 billion funding round and proven driverless operations in core markets like San Francisco and Phoenix, is the main driver behind trader sentiment on new city launches by year-end. The company has initiated or completed commercial robotaxi service in multiple additional cities including Miami, Orlando, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Denver, Las Vegas, San Diego, and Tampa following regulatory clearances and fleet scaling. Plans also target Detroit, Nashville, Washington DC, plus initial international entries in London and Tokyo testing. Key near-term catalysts include further state-level approvals, supply chain capacity for the new Ojai vehicle, and competitive pressure from rivals like Zoox. Uncertainties around edge-case handling in varied geographies and permitting timelines could still shift outcomes for marginal markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$14,350
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 21 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Tampa, FL» с 89%, за ним следует «San Diego, CA» с 83%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 89¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $14.4K с момента запуска рынка Jun 26, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?», просмотри 21 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?» — «Tampa, FL» с 89%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Следующий ближайший исход — «San Diego, CA» с 83%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.