Anthropic's recent Claude Opus upgrades, including Opus 4.8 with expanded one-million-token context and improved agentic coding performance, underpin the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied probability. These releases have delivered state-of-the-art results on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, where Claude variants consistently lead in complex, multi-file refactoring and long-horizon workflows that developers prioritize over raw speed. Strong ecosystem integration in tools like Cursor further reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic's edge in practical coding utility. While a surprise late-June model drop from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, current verified capabilities and adoption patterns make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет лучшую модель Coding AI в конце июня?
Какая компания имеет лучшую модель Coding AI в конце июня?
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.3%
Z.ai <1%
Google <1%
$54,595 Объем
$54,595 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
95%
OpenAI
4%
Z.ai
1%
<1%
xAI
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.3%
Z.ai <1%
Google <1%
$54,595 Объем
$54,595 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$8,180 Объем
95%
OpenAI
$6,751 Объем
4%
Z.ai
$6,006 Объем
1%
$5,421 Объем
<1%
xAI
$6,210 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$2,839 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$4,353 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$4,457 Объем
<1%
DeepSeek
$4,524 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$1,844 Объем
<1%
Meta
$747 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$868 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$894 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$633 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$870 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent Claude Opus upgrades, including Opus 4.8 with expanded one-million-token context and improved agentic coding performance, underpin the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied probability. These releases have delivered state-of-the-art results on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, where Claude variants consistently lead in complex, multi-file refactoring and long-horizon workflows that developers prioritize over raw speed. Strong ecosystem integration in tools like Cursor further reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic's edge in practical coding utility. While a surprise late-June model drop from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, current verified capabilities and adoption patterns make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Объем
$54,595Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent Claude Opus upgrades, including Opus 4.8 with expanded one-million-token context and improved agentic coding performance, underpin the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied probability. These releases have delivered state-of-the-art results on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, where Claude variants consistently lead in complex, multi-file refactoring and long-horizon workflows that developers prioritize over raw speed. Strong ecosystem integration in tools like Cursor further reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic's edge in practical coding utility. While a surprise late-June model drop from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, current verified capabilities and adoption patterns make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$54,595Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent Claude Opus upgrades, including Opus 4.8 with expanded one-million-token context and improved agentic coding performance, underpin the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied probability. These releases have delivered state-of-the-art results on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, where Claude variants consistently lead in complex, multi-file refactoring and long-horizon workflows that developers prioritize over raw speed. Strong ecosystem integration in tools like Cursor further reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic's edge in practical coding utility. While a surprise late-June model drop from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, current verified capabilities and adoption patterns make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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