Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion at 62% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting valuations above $1.75 trillion amid booming Starlink satellite internet revenue projected at $12-24 billion for the year. Starlink's expansion, including U.S. mobile deals and global constellation growth, alongside reusable Falcon and Starship rocket milestones, underpins optimism for multi-trillion-dollar scale, positioning SpaceX as a platform business rivaling Big Tech giants. Lower brackets trail due to historical mega-IPO precedents like Saudi Aramco, while "No IPO before 2028" languishes at 1.6% given the imminent mid-June listing timeline and minimal regulatory hurdles signaled thus far. Watch for roadshow details and final pricing catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКапитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (более низкие забастовки)
Капитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (более низкие забастовки)
2,0+ трлн 62%
1,8–2,0 трлн 11%
1,6–1,8 трлн 8.6%
1,4–1,6 трлн 5.5%
$945,714 Объем
$945,714 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Нет IPO до 2028 года
2%
<1,0 трлн
4%
1,0–1,2 трлн
2%
1,2T–1,4T
3%
1,4–1,6 трлн
5%
1,6–1,8 трлн
9%
1,8–2,0 трлн
11%
2,0+ трлн
62%
2,0+ трлн 62%
1,8–2,0 трлн 11%
1,6–1,8 трлн 8.6%
1,4–1,6 трлн 5.5%
$945,714 Объем
$945,714 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Нет IPO до 2028 года
$189,370 Объем
2%
<1,0 трлн
$75,346 Объем
4%
1,0–1,2 трлн
$54,083 Объем
2%
1,2T–1,4T
$71,493 Объем
3%
1,4–1,6 трлн
$116,179 Объем
5%
1,6–1,8 трлн
$119,281 Объем
9%
1,8–2,0 трлн
$106,321 Объем
11%
2,0+ трлн
$213,641 Объем
62%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion at 62% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting valuations above $1.75 trillion amid booming Starlink satellite internet revenue projected at $12-24 billion for the year. Starlink's expansion, including U.S. mobile deals and global constellation growth, alongside reusable Falcon and Starship rocket milestones, underpins optimism for multi-trillion-dollar scale, positioning SpaceX as a platform business rivaling Big Tech giants. Lower brackets trail due to historical mega-IPO precedents like Saudi Aramco, while "No IPO before 2028" languishes at 1.6% given the imminent mid-June listing timeline and minimal regulatory hurdles signaled thus far. Watch for roadshow details and final pricing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Объем
$945,714Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion at 62% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting valuations above $1.75 trillion amid booming Starlink satellite internet revenue projected at $12-24 billion for the year. Starlink's expansion, including U.S. mobile deals and global constellation growth, alongside reusable Falcon and Starship rocket milestones, underpins optimism for multi-trillion-dollar scale, positioning SpaceX as a platform business rivaling Big Tech giants. Lower brackets trail due to historical mega-IPO precedents like Saudi Aramco, while "No IPO before 2028" languishes at 1.6% given the imminent mid-June listing timeline and minimal regulatory hurdles signaled thus far. Watch for roadshow details and final pricing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$945,714Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion at 62% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting valuations above $1.75 trillion amid booming Starlink satellite internet revenue projected at $12-24 billion for the year. Starlink's expansion, including U.S. mobile deals and global constellation growth, alongside reusable Falcon and Starship rocket milestones, underpins optimism for multi-trillion-dollar scale, positioning SpaceX as a platform business rivaling Big Tech giants. Lower brackets trail due to historical mega-IPO precedents like Saudi Aramco, while "No IPO before 2028" languishes at 1.6% given the imminent mid-June listing timeline and minimal regulatory hurdles signaled thus far. Watch for roadshow details and final pricing catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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