Global seismic activity during the May 11–17 window has centered on Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones, where ongoing plate-boundary strain release in regions such as the Philippines, Tonga, and the South Sandwich Islands has produced a steady flow of moderate events. USGS monitoring shows typical weekly rates of magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes hover near six to seven under current tectonic conditions, with no major aftershock sequences or unusual clustering pushing counts higher. Model consensus from historical catalogs indicates that isolated M5.5–5.9 quakes offshore rarely trigger rapid escalation, keeping the distribution of outcomes tightly clustered between six and seven events. Updated catalog reviews through the period’s final hours will determine whether any late detections shift the tally.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
7 35.7%
6 35%
>9 15.0%
8 11.0%
$114,122 Объем
$114,122 Объем
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
35%
7
31%
8
15%
9
6%
>9
12%
7 35.7%
6 35%
>9 15.0%
8 11.0%
$114,122 Объем
$114,122 Объем
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
35%
7
31%
8
15%
9
6%
>9
12%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Открытие рынка: May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic activity during the May 11–17 window has centered on Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones, where ongoing plate-boundary strain release in regions such as the Philippines, Tonga, and the South Sandwich Islands has produced a steady flow of moderate events. USGS monitoring shows typical weekly rates of magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes hover near six to seven under current tectonic conditions, with no major aftershock sequences or unusual clustering pushing counts higher. Model consensus from historical catalogs indicates that isolated M5.5–5.9 quakes offshore rarely trigger rapid escalation, keeping the distribution of outcomes tightly clustered between six and seven events. Updated catalog reviews through the period’s final hours will determine whether any late detections shift the tally.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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