CDC's FluSurv-NET surveillance data, as detailed in the latest FluView report covering Week 18 (ending around May 9, 2026), shows a cumulative laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization rate of 85–90 per 100,000 population, driving traders' 98.7% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderately severe 2025–2026 season with over 380,000 total hospitalizations estimated so far. Declining national flu activity since early April, with weekly admissions dropping sharply and outpatient positivity falling below 3%, aligns with historical late-season patterns for H3N2-dominant epidemics. While preliminary figures carry some revision risk from delayed site reports, a shift outside this range would require substantial data discrepancies; traders await final FluView confirmations in coming weeks for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
85–90 98.6%
90–95 1.6%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
$14,346 Объем
$14,346 Объем
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
2%
95–100
<1%
100+
<1%
85–90 98.6%
90–95 1.6%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
$14,346 Объем
$14,346 Объем
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
2%
95–100
<1%
100+
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Открытие рынка: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...CDC's FluSurv-NET surveillance data, as detailed in the latest FluView report covering Week 18 (ending around May 9, 2026), shows a cumulative laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization rate of 85–90 per 100,000 population, driving traders' 98.7% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderately severe 2025–2026 season with over 380,000 total hospitalizations estimated so far. Declining national flu activity since early April, with weekly admissions dropping sharply and outpatient positivity falling below 3%, aligns with historical late-season patterns for H3N2-dominant epidemics. While preliminary figures carry some revision risk from delayed site reports, a shift outside this range would require substantial data discrepancies; traders await final FluView confirmations in coming weeks for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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