Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 67% implied probability due to the sustained benchmark dominance of its Claude Opus 4.7 large language model, released in mid-April, which continues to top independent leaderboards in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks through early May 2026. Recent previews of the unreleased Claude Mythos variant have further reinforced this edge with standout scores on cybersecurity and adaptive reasoning evaluations, widening the gap over competitors. Google sits at 22% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s efficiency gains and targeted updates, while OpenAI’s 5.5% reflects incremental GPT-5.5 Instant releases that have yet to close the performance delta. Key upcoming catalysts before the June 30 resolution include potential new model drops from xAI and Google, plus ongoing leaderboard volatility as fresh benchmarks emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня? (Управление стилем включено)
Какая компания имеет лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня? (Управление стилем включено)
Anthropic 67%
Google 22%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 2.6%
$1,455,220 Объем
$1,455,220 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
67%
22%
OpenAI
6%
xAI
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Alibaba
1%
Microsoft
1%
Meta
1%
Z.ai
1%
Moonshot
1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 67%
Google 22%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 2.6%
$1,455,220 Объем
$1,455,220 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$29,972 Объем
67%
$18,325 Объем
22%
OpenAI
$49,298 Объем
6%
xAI
$14,928 Объем
3%
DeepSeek
$201,099 Объем
1%
Alibaba
$136,475 Объем
1%
Microsoft
$11,847 Объем
1%
Meta
$8,119 Объем
1%
Z.ai
$412,860 Объем
1%
Moonshot
$203,328 Объем
1%
Meituan
$270,668 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$59,313 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$17,620 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$12,783 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$8,585 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 67% implied probability due to the sustained benchmark dominance of its Claude Opus 4.7 large language model, released in mid-April, which continues to top independent leaderboards in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks through early May 2026. Recent previews of the unreleased Claude Mythos variant have further reinforced this edge with standout scores on cybersecurity and adaptive reasoning evaluations, widening the gap over competitors. Google sits at 22% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s efficiency gains and targeted updates, while OpenAI’s 5.5% reflects incremental GPT-5.5 Instant releases that have yet to close the performance delta. Key upcoming catalysts before the June 30 resolution include potential new model drops from xAI and Google, plus ongoing leaderboard volatility as fresh benchmarks emerge.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Объем
$1,455,220Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 67% implied probability due to the sustained benchmark dominance of its Claude Opus 4.7 large language model, released in mid-April, which continues to top independent leaderboards in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks through early May 2026. Recent previews of the unreleased Claude Mythos variant have further reinforced this edge with standout scores on cybersecurity and adaptive reasoning evaluations, widening the gap over competitors. Google sits at 22% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s efficiency gains and targeted updates, while OpenAI’s 5.5% reflects incremental GPT-5.5 Instant releases that have yet to close the performance delta. Key upcoming catalysts before the June 30 resolution include potential new model drops from xAI and Google, plus ongoing leaderboard volatility as fresh benchmarks emerge.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$1,455,220Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 67% implied probability due to the sustained benchmark dominance of its Claude Opus 4.7 large language model, released in mid-April, which continues to top independent leaderboards in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks through early May 2026. Recent previews of the unreleased Claude Mythos variant have further reinforced this edge with standout scores on cybersecurity and adaptive reasoning evaluations, widening the gap over competitors. Google sits at 22% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s efficiency gains and targeted updates, while OpenAI’s 5.5% reflects incremental GPT-5.5 Instant releases that have yet to close the performance delta. Key upcoming catalysts before the June 30 resolution include potential new model drops from xAI and Google, plus ongoing leaderboard volatility as fresh benchmarks emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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