SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April and the subsequent acceleration of its IPO timeline to a June 11 pricing and June 12 Nasdaq debut have anchored trader consensus around a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Reports consistently cite target valuations of $1.75–2 trillion driven by Starlink’s surging revenue, Starship flight-test milestones, and synergies from the xAI integration, all of which support aggressive growth multiples well above prior private-market levels near $800 billion. While the market-implied odds reflect broad confidence in a near-term listing at record scale, execution risks such as regulatory delays, Starship development setbacks, or shifts in capital-market appetite could still compress the final valuation below the $1 trillion threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКапитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (самые низкие страйки)
Капитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (самые низкие страйки)
1Т+ 96%
Нет IPO до 2028 года 1.3%
800 млрд–900 млрд 1.1%
700 млрд–800 млрд <1%
$3,431,918 Объем
$3,431,918 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500B
<1%
500 млрд–600 млрд
<1%
600 млрд–700 млрд
<1%
700 млрд–800 млрд
1%
800 млрд–900 млрд
1%
900 млрд–1 трлн
1%
1Т+
96%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
1%
1Т+ 96%
Нет IPO до 2028 года 1.3%
800 млрд–900 млрд 1.1%
700 млрд–800 млрд <1%
$3,431,918 Объем
$3,431,918 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500B
$376,674 Объем
<1%
500 млрд–600 млрд
$320,433 Объем
<1%
600 млрд–700 млрд
$292,708 Объем
<1%
700 млрд–800 млрд
$331,571 Объем
1%
800 млрд–900 млрд
$481,987 Объем
1%
900 млрд–1 трлн
$419,027 Объем
1%
1Т+
$610,703 Объем
96%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
$598,823 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April and the subsequent acceleration of its IPO timeline to a June 11 pricing and June 12 Nasdaq debut have anchored trader consensus around a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Reports consistently cite target valuations of $1.75–2 trillion driven by Starlink’s surging revenue, Starship flight-test milestones, and synergies from the xAI integration, all of which support aggressive growth multiples well above prior private-market levels near $800 billion. While the market-implied odds reflect broad confidence in a near-term listing at record scale, execution risks such as regulatory delays, Starship development setbacks, or shifts in capital-market appetite could still compress the final valuation below the $1 trillion threshold.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
Объем
$3,431,918Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April and the subsequent acceleration of its IPO timeline to a June 11 pricing and June 12 Nasdaq debut have anchored trader consensus around a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Reports consistently cite target valuations of $1.75–2 trillion driven by Starlink’s surging revenue, Starship flight-test milestones, and synergies from the xAI integration, all of which support aggressive growth multiples well above prior private-market levels near $800 billion. While the market-implied odds reflect broad confidence in a near-term listing at record scale, execution risks such as regulatory delays, Starship development setbacks, or shifts in capital-market appetite could still compress the final valuation below the $1 trillion threshold.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$3,431,918Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April and the subsequent acceleration of its IPO timeline to a June 11 pricing and June 12 Nasdaq debut have anchored trader consensus around a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Reports consistently cite target valuations of $1.75–2 trillion driven by Starlink’s surging revenue, Starship flight-test milestones, and synergies from the xAI integration, all of which support aggressive growth multiples well above prior private-market levels near $800 billion. While the market-implied odds reflect broad confidence in a near-term listing at record scale, execution risks such as regulatory delays, Starship development setbacks, or shifts in capital-market appetite could still compress the final valuation below the $1 trillion threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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