Skip to main content
icon for Обозначение «риск цепочки поставок» компании Anthropic удалено...?
Технологии·Клод

Обозначение «риск цепочки поставок» компании Anthropic удалено...?

icon for Обозначение «риск цепочки поставок» компании Anthropic удалено...?
Технологии·Клод

Обозначение «риск цепочки поставок» компании Anthropic удалено...?

$13,431 Объем

31 мая 2026 г.
Polymarket

$13,431 Объем

Polymarket

31 мая

$1,705 Объем

26%

On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling. Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify. Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies just a 25% chance of Anthropic's Pentagon-issued "supply chain risk" designation being officially rescinded by June 30, 2026, reflecting the label's persistence amid protracted litigation. The U.S. Department of Defense applied the unprecedented sanction in March 2026 after Anthropic refused unrestricted access to its Claude models for military applications like surveillance and autonomous weapons, prompting First Amendment lawsuits. A preliminary injunction from Judge Rita Lin temporarily halted it on March 26, but a D.C. Circuit panel rejected Anthropic's appeal bid on April 8, reinstating the barrier for federal contractors. Recent Bloomberg reporting highlights ripple effects, with partners like Figma citing usage risks for government sales. Upcoming final court rulings or potential executive reversals could shift dynamics, though national security priorities sustain skepticism.

On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling.

Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify.

Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$13,431
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 3:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling. Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify. Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling. Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify. Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies just a 25% chance of Anthropic's Pentagon-issued "supply chain risk" designation being officially rescinded by June 30, 2026, reflecting the label's persistence amid protracted litigation. The U.S. Department of Defense applied the unprecedented sanction in March 2026 after Anthropic refused unrestricted access to its Claude models for military applications like surveillance and autonomous weapons, prompting First Amendment lawsuits. A preliminary injunction from Judge Rita Lin temporarily halted it on March 26, but a D.C. Circuit panel rejected Anthropic's appeal bid on April 8, reinstating the barrier for federal contractors. Recent Bloomberg reporting highlights ripple effects, with partners like Figma citing usage risks for government sales. Upcoming final court rulings or potential executive reversals could shift dynamics, though national security priorities sustain skepticism.

On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling.

Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify.

Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$13,431
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 3:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling. Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify. Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Обозначение «риск цепочки поставок» компании Anthropic удалено...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 мая» с 26%, за ним следует «8 мая» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 26¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 26%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Обозначение «риск цепочки поставок» компании Anthropic удалено...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $13.4K с момента запуска рынка Apr 30, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Обозначение «риск цепочки поставок» компании Anthropic удалено...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Обозначение «риск цепочки поставок» компании Anthropic удалено...?» — «31 мая» с 26%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 26%. Следующий ближайший исход — «8 мая» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Обозначение «риск цепочки поставок» компании Anthropic удалено...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.