Recent elevated error rates on Claude Opus and Sonnet models, including incidents on May 8, 9, 14, and 15, have pushed trader sentiment toward moderate downtime for the month. High user demand continues to strain Anthropic’s serving infrastructure, causing partial outages that affect both claude.ai and the API, even as the company quickly resolves most issues. With 6–8 days currently leading at 38.1 percent amid closely contested ranges up to 12+, markets reflect uncertainty over whether ongoing scaling improvements will stabilize performance or if further spikes in traffic will trigger additional disruptions through month-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУйдет ли Клод в отставку __ дней в мае?
6–8 38.1%
9-11 35%
Более 12 31%
3-5 16.3%
$33,496 Объем
$33,496 Объем
3-5
14%
6–8
38%
9-11
35%
Более 12
34%
6–8 38.1%
9-11 35%
Более 12 31%
3-5 16.3%
$33,496 Объем
$33,496 Объем
3-5
14%
6–8
38%
9-11
35%
Более 12
34%
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent elevated error rates on Claude Opus and Sonnet models, including incidents on May 8, 9, 14, and 15, have pushed trader sentiment toward moderate downtime for the month. High user demand continues to strain Anthropic’s serving infrastructure, causing partial outages that affect both claude.ai and the API, even as the company quickly resolves most issues. With 6–8 days currently leading at 38.1 percent amid closely contested ranges up to 12+, markets reflect uncertainty over whether ongoing scaling improvements will stabilize performance or if further spikes in traffic will trigger additional disruptions through month-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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