The collapse of bailout negotiations between the Trump administration and Spirit Airlines in late April and early May has driven overwhelming trader consensus against any U.S. government equity stake by May 31. Talks over a potential $500 million infusion in exchange for an 80-90% ownership position ended without agreement amid opposition from creditors, funding uncertainties, and shifting administration priorities, after which the carrier ceased operations on May 2. With the airline now in wind-down mode and no new legislative or executive actions announced to revive the proposal, the near-certain "No" pricing reflects this clear timeline. Late developments such as an unexpected congressional appropriation or revived talks tied to broader aviation policy could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline, though current conditions make such reversals improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$220,100 Объем
$220,100 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
$220,100 Объем
$220,100 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Spirit Airlines, or any of its parent or subsidiary companies, by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The collapse of bailout negotiations between the Trump administration and Spirit Airlines in late April and early May has driven overwhelming trader consensus against any U.S. government equity stake by May 31. Talks over a potential $500 million infusion in exchange for an 80-90% ownership position ended without agreement amid opposition from creditors, funding uncertainties, and shifting administration priorities, after which the carrier ceased operations on May 2. With the airline now in wind-down mode and no new legislative or executive actions announced to revive the proposal, the near-certain "No" pricing reflects this clear timeline. Late developments such as an unexpected congressional appropriation or revived talks tied to broader aviation policy could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline, though current conditions make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Spirit Airlines, or any of its parent or subsidiary companies, by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Объем
$220,100Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Spirit Airlines, or any of its parent or subsidiary companies, by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The collapse of bailout negotiations between the Trump administration and Spirit Airlines in late April and early May has driven overwhelming trader consensus against any U.S. government equity stake by May 31. Talks over a potential $500 million infusion in exchange for an 80-90% ownership position ended without agreement amid opposition from creditors, funding uncertainties, and shifting administration priorities, after which the carrier ceased operations on May 2. With the airline now in wind-down mode and no new legislative or executive actions announced to revive the proposal, the near-certain "No" pricing reflects this clear timeline. Late developments such as an unexpected congressional appropriation or revived talks tied to broader aviation policy could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline, though current conditions make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Spirit Airlines, or any of its parent or subsidiary companies, by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$220,100Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The collapse of bailout negotiations between the Trump administration and Spirit Airlines in late April and early May has driven overwhelming trader consensus against any U.S. government equity stake by May 31. Talks over a potential $500 million infusion in exchange for an 80-90% ownership position ended without agreement amid opposition from creditors, funding uncertainties, and shifting administration priorities, after which the carrier ceased operations on May 2. With the airline now in wind-down mode and no new legislative or executive actions announced to revive the proposal, the near-certain "No" pricing reflects this clear timeline. Late developments such as an unexpected congressional appropriation or revived talks tied to broader aviation policy could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline, though current conditions make such reversals improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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