The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure strategy, anchored in Executive Orders 14380 and 14404, continues to drive trader expectations of limited near-term oil sanction relief for Cuba. Secondary tariffs and repeated State Department designations since January 2026 have curtailed Venezuelan and other fuel deliveries, deepening Cuba’s energy shortages and blackouts while targeting state entities in the energy, mining, and financial sectors. Most recently, additional designations on September 3 and 17, 2026, further restricted revenue streams tied to petroleum. Limited general licenses allow some private-sector fuel shipments from U.S. suppliers, yet official announcements have focused on enforcement rather than broad easing. Cuba’s domestic liberalization measures and reported bilateral talks have not produced verifiable concessions sufficient to alter the policy trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$46,696 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
21%
31 декабря
42%
$46,696 Объем
30 сентября
$43 Объем
21%
31 декабря
$0 Объем
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure strategy, anchored in Executive Orders 14380 and 14404, continues to drive trader expectations of limited near-term oil sanction relief for Cuba. Secondary tariffs and repeated State Department designations since January 2026 have curtailed Venezuelan and other fuel deliveries, deepening Cuba’s energy shortages and blackouts while targeting state entities in the energy, mining, and financial sectors. Most recently, additional designations on September 3 and 17, 2026, further restricted revenue streams tied to petroleum. Limited general licenses allow some private-sector fuel shipments from U.S. suppliers, yet official announcements have focused on enforcement rather than broad easing. Cuba’s domestic liberalization measures and reported bilateral talks have not produced verifiable concessions sufficient to alter the policy trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Объем
$46,696Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure strategy, anchored in Executive Orders 14380 and 14404, continues to drive trader expectations of limited near-term oil sanction relief for Cuba. Secondary tariffs and repeated State Department designations since January 2026 have curtailed Venezuelan and other fuel deliveries, deepening Cuba’s energy shortages and blackouts while targeting state entities in the energy, mining, and financial sectors. Most recently, additional designations on September 3 and 17, 2026, further restricted revenue streams tied to petroleum. Limited general licenses allow some private-sector fuel shipments from U.S. suppliers, yet official announcements have focused on enforcement rather than broad easing. Cuba’s domestic liberalization measures and reported bilateral talks have not produced verifiable concessions sufficient to alter the policy trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$46,696Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure strategy, anchored in Executive Orders 14380 and 14404, continues to drive trader expectations of limited near-term oil sanction relief for Cuba. Secondary tariffs and repeated State Department designations since January 2026 have curtailed Venezuelan and other fuel deliveries, deepening Cuba’s energy shortages and blackouts while targeting state entities in the energy, mining, and financial sectors. Most recently, additional designations on September 3 and 17, 2026, further restricted revenue streams tied to petroleum. Limited general licenses allow some private-sector fuel shipments from U.S. suppliers, yet official announcements have focused on enforcement rather than broad easing. Cuba’s domestic liberalization measures and reported bilateral talks have not produced verifiable concessions sufficient to alter the policy trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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