Recent diplomatic contacts, including a September 8 phone call between the U.S. and Russian presidents focused on Ukraine settlement efforts, have shaped trader assessments for a 2026 bilateral meeting. Kremlin statements following that exchange and prior envoy visits noted the possibility of a trilateral gathering with China’s leader on the margins of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, elevating China as the leading venue in market pricing. Ongoing shuttle diplomacy and battlefield developments continue to influence timelines, while the sizable share assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects uncertainty over whether a summit can be finalized amid competing priorities and unresolved negotiating positions. Lower-probability alternatives such as Russia or the United States lack comparable near-term hosting signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГде Трамп и Путин встретятся в 2026 году?
China 56%
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря 34%
Gulf country 2.6%
Russia 2.1%
$992,180 Объем
$992,180 Объем

China
56%

Встречи не будет до 31 декабря
34%

Gulf country
3%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Japan
1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 56%
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря 34%
Gulf country 2.6%
Russia 2.1%
$992,180 Объем
$992,180 Объем

China
56%

Встречи не будет до 31 декабря
34%

Gulf country
3%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Japan
1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent diplomatic contacts, including a September 8 phone call between the U.S. and Russian presidents focused on Ukraine settlement efforts, have shaped trader assessments for a 2026 bilateral meeting. Kremlin statements following that exchange and prior envoy visits noted the possibility of a trilateral gathering with China’s leader on the margins of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, elevating China as the leading venue in market pricing. Ongoing shuttle diplomacy and battlefield developments continue to influence timelines, while the sizable share assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects uncertainty over whether a summit can be finalized amid competing priorities and unresolved negotiating positions. Lower-probability alternatives such as Russia or the United States lack comparable near-term hosting signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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