Israeli airspace (Tel Aviv FIR) remains open as of mid-August 2026 after multiple temporary closures and reopenings earlier in the year tied to US-Israeli strikes on Iran and subsequent Iranian missile-drone responses. The US-Iran ceasefire breakdown in July, coupled with renewed activity around the Strait of Hormuz and persistent threats from Hezbollah and Houthi proxies, sustains elevated risk of short-notice disruptions from incoming projectiles or security assessments. EASA maintains advisories urging operators to weigh potential hazards before flights to Israel, while many international carriers continue limited or suspended service to Ben-Gurion Airport. Traders monitor Iranian statements, cross-border incidents, and diplomatic signals for any escalation that could prompt another closure before near-term resolution windows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$27,064,651 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
15 августа
<1%
31 августа
5%
$27,064,651 Объем
15 августа
$1,004,975 Объем
<1%
31 августа
$1,036,491 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli airspace (Tel Aviv FIR) remains open as of mid-August 2026 after multiple temporary closures and reopenings earlier in the year tied to US-Israeli strikes on Iran and subsequent Iranian missile-drone responses. The US-Iran ceasefire breakdown in July, coupled with renewed activity around the Strait of Hormuz and persistent threats from Hezbollah and Houthi proxies, sustains elevated risk of short-notice disruptions from incoming projectiles or security assessments. EASA maintains advisories urging operators to weigh potential hazards before flights to Israel, while many international carriers continue limited or suspended service to Ben-Gurion Airport. Traders monitor Iranian statements, cross-border incidents, and diplomatic signals for any escalation that could prompt another closure before near-term resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 18, 2026, 3:16 PM ET
Объем
$27,064,651Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 18, 2026, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli airspace (Tel Aviv FIR) remains open as of mid-August 2026 after multiple temporary closures and reopenings earlier in the year tied to US-Israeli strikes on Iran and subsequent Iranian missile-drone responses. The US-Iran ceasefire breakdown in July, coupled with renewed activity around the Strait of Hormuz and persistent threats from Hezbollah and Houthi proxies, sustains elevated risk of short-notice disruptions from incoming projectiles or security assessments. EASA maintains advisories urging operators to weigh potential hazards before flights to Israel, while many international carriers continue limited or suspended service to Ben-Gurion Airport. Traders monitor Iranian statements, cross-border incidents, and diplomatic signals for any escalation that could prompt another closure before near-term resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$27,064,651Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 18, 2026, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli airspace (Tel Aviv FIR) remains open as of mid-August 2026 after multiple temporary closures and reopenings earlier in the year tied to US-Israeli strikes on Iran and subsequent Iranian missile-drone responses. The US-Iran ceasefire breakdown in July, coupled with renewed activity around the Strait of Hormuz and persistent threats from Hezbollah and Houthi proxies, sustains elevated risk of short-notice disruptions from incoming projectiles or security assessments. EASA maintains advisories urging operators to weigh potential hazards before flights to Israel, while many international carriers continue limited or suspended service to Ben-Gurion Airport. Traders monitor Iranian statements, cross-border incidents, and diplomatic signals for any escalation that could prompt another closure before near-term resolution windows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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