Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on reviving the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for finalizing terms on the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program following earlier technical discussions in Oman and Switzerland. As of mid-August 2026, direct high-level engagement remains stalled amid disputes over navigation rights, frozen assets, and enforcement of the ceasefire, with both sides exchanging messages primarily through intermediaries such as Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. US officials including President Trump and Vice President Vance have referenced ongoing indirect contacts, while Iranian statements emphasize separate Oman-focused talks. Resolution of these core issues could determine whether formal rounds resume before year-end, subject to mediation progress and compliance with existing commitments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$175,471 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Мохаммад Багер Калибаф
46%
Джей Ди Ванс
42%
Маджид Тахт-Раванчи
37%
Джаред Кушнер
51%
Аббас Аракчи
44%
Мохаммед бин Абдулрахман Аль Тани
30%
Масуд Пезешкиан
26%
Стив Виткофф
34%
Рафаэль Гросси
32%
Марко Рубио
22%
Ишак Дар
31%
Казем Гharibabadi
21%
Ник Стюарт
19%
Бадр бин Хамад Аль-Бусаиди
17%
Дональд Трамп
12%
Эсмаил Каани
8%
Пит Хегсет
6%
Ахмад Вахиди
5%
Моджтаба Хаменеи
5%
$175,471 Объем
Мохаммад Багер Калибаф
$11,260 Объем
46%
Джей Ди Ванс
$11,907 Объем
42%
Маджид Тахт-Раванчи
$12,434 Объем
37%
Джаред Кушнер
$8,135 Объем
51%
Аббас Аракчи
$6,749 Объем
44%
Мохаммед бин Абдулрахман Аль Тани
$12,141 Объем
30%
Масуд Пезешкиан
$10,588 Объем
26%
Стив Виткофф
$7,918 Объем
34%
Рафаэль Гросси
$10,470 Объем
32%
Марко Рубио
$10,959 Объем
22%
Ишак Дар
$7,098 Объем
31%
Казем Гharibabadi
$14,392 Объем
21%
Ник Стюарт
$3,508 Объем
19%
Бадр бин Хамад Аль-Бусаиди
$14,019 Объем
17%
Дональд Трамп
$143 Объем
12%
Эсмаил Каани
$9,883 Объем
8%
Пит Хегсет
$2,478 Объем
6%
Ахмад Вахиди
$2,198 Объем
5%
Моджтаба Хаменеи
$19,189 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on reviving the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for finalizing terms on the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program following earlier technical discussions in Oman and Switzerland. As of mid-August 2026, direct high-level engagement remains stalled amid disputes over navigation rights, frozen assets, and enforcement of the ceasefire, with both sides exchanging messages primarily through intermediaries such as Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. US officials including President Trump and Vice President Vance have referenced ongoing indirect contacts, while Iranian statements emphasize separate Oman-focused talks. Resolution of these core issues could determine whether formal rounds resume before year-end, subject to mediation progress and compliance with existing commitments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Объем
$175,471Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on reviving the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for finalizing terms on the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program following earlier technical discussions in Oman and Switzerland. As of mid-August 2026, direct high-level engagement remains stalled amid disputes over navigation rights, frozen assets, and enforcement of the ceasefire, with both sides exchanging messages primarily through intermediaries such as Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. US officials including President Trump and Vice President Vance have referenced ongoing indirect contacts, while Iranian statements emphasize separate Oman-focused talks. Resolution of these core issues could determine whether formal rounds resume before year-end, subject to mediation progress and compliance with existing commitments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$175,471Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on reviving the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for finalizing terms on the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program following earlier technical discussions in Oman and Switzerland. As of mid-August 2026, direct high-level engagement remains stalled amid disputes over navigation rights, frozen assets, and enforcement of the ceasefire, with both sides exchanging messages primarily through intermediaries such as Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. US officials including President Trump and Vice President Vance have referenced ongoing indirect contacts, while Iranian statements emphasize separate Oman-focused talks. Resolution of these core issues could determine whether formal rounds resume before year-end, subject to mediation progress and compliance with existing commitments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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