Former U.S. Representative Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 Senate race over incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan at 32.5%, reflecting consistent polling advantages in recent Alaska Survey Research surveys from April 2026 showing her up by 6-7 points among likely voters. Peltola's strong Q1 fundraising haul of nearly $9 million dwarfs Sullivan's $2.1 million, bolstering her campaign amid ranked-choice voting dynamics that favored her prior House victories. Momentum continues with her May 9 announcement of 4,500 volunteers, while Sullivan secured an Alaska Native corporations endorsement on May 8. The top-four primary on August 18 and general election November 3 remain pivotal in this competitive contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Аляски
Победитель выборов в Сенат Аляски
Мэри Пэлтола 62%
Дэн Салливан 33%
Дастин Дарден <1%
Энн Диенер <1%
$322,902 Объем
$322,902 Объем

Мэри Пэлтола
62%

Дэн Салливан
33%

Дастин Дарден
<1%

Энн Диенер
<1%

Ричард Грейсон
<1%
Мэри Пэлтола 62%
Дэн Салливан 33%
Дастин Дарден <1%
Энн Диенер <1%
$322,902 Объем
$322,902 Объем

Мэри Пэлтола
62%

Дэн Салливан
33%

Дастин Дарден
<1%

Энн Диенер
<1%

Ричард Грейсон
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Representative Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 Senate race over incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan at 32.5%, reflecting consistent polling advantages in recent Alaska Survey Research surveys from April 2026 showing her up by 6-7 points among likely voters. Peltola's strong Q1 fundraising haul of nearly $9 million dwarfs Sullivan's $2.1 million, bolstering her campaign amid ranked-choice voting dynamics that favored her prior House victories. Momentum continues with her May 9 announcement of 4,500 volunteers, while Sullivan secured an Alaska Native corporations endorsement on May 8. The top-four primary on August 18 and general election November 3 remain pivotal in this competitive contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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