Recent opinion surveys ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election place Miljöpartiet and Kristdemokraterna within roughly one percentage point of each other, with both parties polling in the mid-to-high single digits. This proximity reflects Miljöpartiet’s consistent backing within the red-green opposition bloc and Kristdemokraterna’s modest gains inside the governing Tidö arrangement, where both sides remain sensitive to shifts in voter priorities on climate policy, migration, and economic conditions. Traders price the contest near even odds because historical results and current polling show either party could finish ahead depending on final turnout and late campaign momentum. Any measurable movement in bloc-level support or unexpected events in the remaining weeks could alter the narrow balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMP
50% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
MP
50% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion surveys ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election place Miljöpartiet and Kristdemokraterna within roughly one percentage point of each other, with both parties polling in the mid-to-high single digits. This proximity reflects Miljöpartiet’s consistent backing within the red-green opposition bloc and Kristdemokraterna’s modest gains inside the governing Tidö arrangement, where both sides remain sensitive to shifts in voter priorities on climate policy, migration, and economic conditions. Traders price the contest near even odds because historical results and current polling show either party could finish ahead depending on final turnout and late campaign momentum. Any measurable movement in bloc-level support or unexpected events in the remaining weeks could alter the narrow balance.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:33 AM ET
Объем
$702Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion surveys ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election place Miljöpartiet and Kristdemokraterna within roughly one percentage point of each other, with both parties polling in the mid-to-high single digits. This proximity reflects Miljöpartiet’s consistent backing within the red-green opposition bloc and Kristdemokraterna’s modest gains inside the governing Tidö arrangement, where both sides remain sensitive to shifts in voter priorities on climate policy, migration, and economic conditions. Traders price the contest near even odds because historical results and current polling show either party could finish ahead depending on final turnout and late campaign momentum. Any measurable movement in bloc-level support or unexpected events in the remaining weeks could alter the narrow balance.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$702Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion surveys ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election place Miljöpartiet and Kristdemokraterna within roughly one percentage point of each other, with both parties polling in the mid-to-high single digits. This proximity reflects Miljöpartiet’s consistent backing within the red-green opposition bloc and Kristdemokraterna’s modest gains inside the governing Tidö arrangement, where both sides remain sensitive to shifts in voter priorities on climate policy, migration, and economic conditions. Traders price the contest near even odds because historical results and current polling show either party could finish ahead depending on final turnout and late campaign momentum. Any measurable movement in bloc-level support or unexpected events in the remaining weeks could alter the narrow balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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