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icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул
Выборы·Основные выборы

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул

icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул
Выборы·Основные выборы

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул

Лула 47%

Пабло Марсал 47%

Роналдо Каядо 47%

Зема 47%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Лула 47%

Пабло Марсал 47%

Роналдо Каядо 47%

Зема 47%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Лула

Лула

$0 Объем

47%

icon for Пабло Марсал

Пабло Марсал

$0 Объем

47%

icon for Роналдо Каядо

Роналдо Каядо

$0 Объем

47%

icon for Зема

Зема

$0 Объем

47%

icon for Писатель Аугусто Кури

Писатель Аугусто Кури

$0 Объем

46%

icon for Ветеринар Вилсон Грасси

Ветеринар Вилсон Грасси

$0 Объем

46%

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$0 Объем

45%

icon for Флавио Болсонаро

Флавио Болсонаро

$0 Объем

41%

icon for Херц Диас

Херц Диас

$0 Объем

39%

icon for Руй Коста Пименто

Руй Коста Пименто

$0 Объем

38%

icon for Самара

Самара

$0 Объем

38%

icon for Эдмилсон Коста

Эдмилсон Коста

$0 Объем

26%

icon for Клариана Барао

Клариана Барао

$0 Объем

26%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling and campaign launches highlight a fragmented field for first place in Rio Grande do Sul's October 4 first round, with trader consensus reflecting tight probabilities across numerous candidates amid regional voting patterns. Lula maintains national leads in most surveys but trails in southern states like Rio Grande do Sul, where right-leaning contenders including Flávio Bolsonaro draw stronger support. Key factors include ongoing party alliances, scheduled debates in late August and September, and voter turnout dynamics in a state with distinct economic and political priorities. The crowded field and limited separation in recent data sustain balanced odds, while any shift in regional polling, endorsements, or turnout among key blocs could widen gaps before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling and campaign launches highlight a fragmented field for first place in Rio Grande do Sul's October 4 first round, with trader consensus reflecting tight probabilities across numerous candidates amid regional voting patterns. Lula maintains national leads in most surveys but trails in southern states like Rio Grande do Sul, where right-leaning contenders including Flávio Bolsonaro draw stronger support. Key factors include ongoing party alliances, scheduled debates in late August and September, and voter turnout dynamics in a state with distinct economic and political priorities. The crowded field and limited separation in recent data sustain balanced odds, while any shift in regional polling, endorsements, or turnout among key blocs could widen gaps before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Связанные

icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?

75%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

52%
icon for Получит ли Флавио Болсонару наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии в штате Парана?

Получит ли Флавио Болсонару наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии в штате Парана?

71%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Лула» с 47%, за ним следует «Пабло Марсал» с 47%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 47¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул» — «Лула» с 47%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Пабло Марсал» с 47%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.