Lula maintains a commanding lead in Maranhão for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state-level polling showing 58-62% support against roughly 20-25% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit or lower figures for all other candidates. This positioning reflects the state's longstanding alignment with the PT in presidential contests, high approval ratings for the incumbent's federal administration among maranhenses, and limited movement in recent surveys from institutes including Quaest and Real Time Big Data. With the campaign period nearly concluded, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to Lula finishing first unless an unforeseen late development alters the narrow remaining window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLula 97.7%
Zema <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
$14,272 Объем
$14,272 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Lula
98%
Zema
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Lula 97.7%
Zema <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
$14,272 Объем
$14,272 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Lula
$5,609 Объем
98%
Zema
$689 Объем
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$739 Объем
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$785 Объем
<1%
Clariana Barao
$790 Объем
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$788 Объем
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$776 Объем
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$718 Объем
<1%
Hertz Dias
$713 Объем
<1%
Renan Santos
$698 Объем
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$638 Объем
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$664 Объем
<1%
Samara
$666 Объем
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Maranhão for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state-level polling showing 58-62% support against roughly 20-25% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit or lower figures for all other candidates. This positioning reflects the state's longstanding alignment with the PT in presidential contests, high approval ratings for the incumbent's federal administration among maranhenses, and limited movement in recent surveys from institutes including Quaest and Real Time Big Data. With the campaign period nearly concluded, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to Lula finishing first unless an unforeseen late development alters the narrow remaining window.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Объем
$14,272Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Maranhão for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state-level polling showing 58-62% support against roughly 20-25% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit or lower figures for all other candidates. This positioning reflects the state's longstanding alignment with the PT in presidential contests, high approval ratings for the incumbent's federal administration among maranhenses, and limited movement in recent surveys from institutes including Quaest and Real Time Big Data. With the campaign period nearly concluded, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to Lula finishing first unless an unforeseen late development alters the narrow remaining window.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$14,272Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Maranhão for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state-level polling showing 58-62% support against roughly 20-25% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit or lower figures for all other candidates. This positioning reflects the state's longstanding alignment with the PT in presidential contests, high approval ratings for the incumbent's federal administration among maranhenses, and limited movement in recent surveys from institutes including Quaest and Real Time Big Data. With the campaign period nearly concluded, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to Lula finishing first unless an unforeseen late development alters the narrow remaining window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграет ли Лула большинство голосов в первом туре президентских выборов в Бразилии 2026 года?
69%
Да
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?
92%
Получит ли Лула больше всего голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии в штате Параиба?
98%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы