Recent polling consistently places Renan Santos of the Missão party in the low-to-mid single digits nationally, with figures ranging from 2% to 6.5% in surveys conducted in early September. His candidacy, formalized by the party in July and validated by the TSE on September 10 after a brief campaign suspension over social media disclosures, positions him as a pragmatic right-wing alternative critical of both President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Santos draws relatively stronger support among younger voters and has emphasized economic reforms and institutional changes, yet the race remains dominated by the two leading contenders. Traders appear to view these results and limited name recognition as anchoring his first-round share near the 2-6% range, with modest upside potential if his outreach to Generation Z accelerates before October voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2-4% 40%
4-6% 27%
8%+ 15%
6-8% 10.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
<2%
7%
2-4%
40%
4-6%
27%
6-8%
25%
8%+
15%
2-4% 40%
4-6% 27%
8%+ 15%
6-8% 10.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
<2%
$289 Объем
7%
2-4%
$650 Объем
40%
4-6%
$334 Объем
27%
6-8%
$272 Объем
25%
8%+
$1,613 Объем
15%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling consistently places Renan Santos of the Missão party in the low-to-mid single digits nationally, with figures ranging from 2% to 6.5% in surveys conducted in early September. His candidacy, formalized by the party in July and validated by the TSE on September 10 after a brief campaign suspension over social media disclosures, positions him as a pragmatic right-wing alternative critical of both President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Santos draws relatively stronger support among younger voters and has emphasized economic reforms and institutional changes, yet the race remains dominated by the two leading contenders. Traders appear to view these results and limited name recognition as anchoring his first-round share near the 2-6% range, with modest upside potential if his outreach to Generation Z accelerates before October voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ET
Объем
$3,158Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling consistently places Renan Santos of the Missão party in the low-to-mid single digits nationally, with figures ranging from 2% to 6.5% in surveys conducted in early September. His candidacy, formalized by the party in July and validated by the TSE on September 10 after a brief campaign suspension over social media disclosures, positions him as a pragmatic right-wing alternative critical of both President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Santos draws relatively stronger support among younger voters and has emphasized economic reforms and institutional changes, yet the race remains dominated by the two leading contenders. Traders appear to view these results and limited name recognition as anchoring his first-round share near the 2-6% range, with modest upside potential if his outreach to Generation Z accelerates before October voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$3,158Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places Renan Santos of the Missão party in the low-to-mid single digits nationally, with figures ranging from 2% to 6.5% in surveys conducted in early September. His candidacy, formalized by the party in July and validated by the TSE on September 10 after a brief campaign suspension over social media disclosures, positions him as a pragmatic right-wing alternative critical of both President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Santos draws relatively stronger support among younger voters and has emphasized economic reforms and institutional changes, yet the race remains dominated by the two leading contenders. Traders appear to view these results and limited name recognition as anchoring his first-round share near the 2-6% range, with modest upside potential if his outreach to Generation Z accelerates before October voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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