Cleitinho Azevedo leads the October 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race at 46.5 percent implied probability, reflecting consistent first-round polling leads of 28 to 46 percent and strong performance in runoff simulations driven by conservative and evangelical voter consolidation. Rodrigo Pacheco trails at 30.5 percent amid ongoing coalition talks with the Workers’ Party and potential free-airtime advantages from party alliances, though recent polling shows him lower at 8 to 12 percent. Alexandre Kalil and Mateus Simões follow at 7.4 percent and 8.0 percent respectively, buoyed by name recognition and continuity ties to the current administration. High undecided voters and pending July conventions introduce volatility, with traders pricing in risks from late alliances or shifts in the bellwether state’s electorate ahead of the first round.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCleitinho Azevedo 47%
Rodrigo Pacheco 28%
Mateus Simões 8.0%
Alexandre Kalil 7.4%
$23,633 Объем
$23,633 Объем

Cleitinho Azevedo
47%

Rodrigo Pacheco
28%

Mateus Simões
8%

Alexandre Kalil
7%

Alexandre Silveira
6%

Бенони Мендес
3%

Nikolas Ferreira
2%

Tadeu Leite
2%

Gabriel Azevedo
1%

Aécio Neves
10%
Cleitinho Azevedo 47%
Rodrigo Pacheco 28%
Mateus Simões 8.0%
Alexandre Kalil 7.4%
$23,633 Объем
$23,633 Объем

Cleitinho Azevedo
47%

Rodrigo Pacheco
28%

Mateus Simões
8%

Alexandre Kalil
7%

Alexandre Silveira
6%

Бенони Мендес
3%

Nikolas Ferreira
2%

Tadeu Leite
2%

Gabriel Azevedo
1%

Aécio Neves
10%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo leads the October 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race at 46.5 percent implied probability, reflecting consistent first-round polling leads of 28 to 46 percent and strong performance in runoff simulations driven by conservative and evangelical voter consolidation. Rodrigo Pacheco trails at 30.5 percent amid ongoing coalition talks with the Workers’ Party and potential free-airtime advantages from party alliances, though recent polling shows him lower at 8 to 12 percent. Alexandre Kalil and Mateus Simões follow at 7.4 percent and 8.0 percent respectively, buoyed by name recognition and continuity ties to the current administration. High undecided voters and pending July conventions introduce volatility, with traders pricing in risks from late alliances or shifts in the bellwether state’s electorate ahead of the first round.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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