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icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Пара
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Пара

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Пара
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Пара

Хана Гассан 59%

Даниэль Сантос 40%

Эдер Мауро 1.3%

Дирсеу Тен Катен <1%

Polymarket

$45,834 Объем

Хана Гассан 59%

Даниэль Сантос 40%

Эдер Мауро 1.3%

Дирсеу Тен Катен <1%

Polymarket

$45,834 Объем

icon for Хана Гассан

Хана Гассан

$17,038 Объем

59%

icon for Даниэль Сантос

Даниэль Сантос

$12,154 Объем

40%

icon for Эдер Мауро

Эдер Мауро

$5,288 Объем

1%

icon for Дирсеу Тен Катен

Дирсеу Тен Катен

$2,815 Объем

<1%

icon for Зекинья Мариньо

Зекинья Мариньо

$2,811 Объем

<1%

icon for Рожерио Барра

Рожерио Барра

$2,872 Объем

<1%

icon for Паулу Роша

Паулу Роша

$2,855 Объем

<1%

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation to run for Senate, leads recent polling with 48.5% of voter intentions in the latest AtlasIntel survey (conducted September 5–10), ahead of Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, with all other registered candidates below 2%. In valid votes, she reaches 52%, positioning her near a first-round victory on October 4, while second-round simulations show a narrower edge. Traders price her win probability at 59% versus 39.5% for Santos, reflecting her incumbency advantage, broad coalition backing, and campaign focus on health decentralization and infrastructure amid ongoing voter outreach in interior regions. Earlier polls showed tighter or tied contests with higher undecided shares, but recent data has widened her position ahead of the October timeline.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$45,834
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation to run for Senate, leads recent polling with 48.5% of voter intentions in the latest AtlasIntel survey (conducted September 5–10), ahead of Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, with all other registered candidates below 2%. In valid votes, she reaches 52%, positioning her near a first-round victory on October 4, while second-round simulations show a narrower edge. Traders price her win probability at 59% versus 39.5% for Santos, reflecting her incumbency advantage, broad coalition backing, and campaign focus on health decentralization and infrastructure amid ongoing voter outreach in interior regions. Earlier polls showed tighter or tied contests with higher undecided shares, but recent data has widened her position ahead of the October timeline.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$45,834
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

81%
Да
icon for Победит ли Омар Азиз на выборах губернатора Амазонаса в 2026 году?

Победит ли Омар Азиз на выборах губернатора Амазонаса в 2026 году?

57%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли доктор Фурлан выборы губернатора Амапа в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли доктор Фурлан выборы губернатора Амапа в 2026 году?

92%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Пара» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Хана Гассан» с 59%, за ним следует «Даниэль Сантос» с 40%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 59¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 59%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов губернатора Пара» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $45.8K с момента запуска рынка Jun 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Пара», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Пара» — «Хана Гассан» с 59%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 59%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Даниэль Сантос» с 40%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Пара» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.