The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Hana Ghassan (MDB) and leading challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with market prices reflecting their near parity and low probabilities assigned to other listed candidates. Ghassan assumed the governorship in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, providing her the advantages of incumbency and name recognition in a first-round field. Recent Quaest polling showed the pair in technical ties for the October 2026 vote, with runoff simulations also close. Limited new surveys since spring and a fragmented field of lower-polling contenders have sustained trader consensus around even odds, though shifts in voter turnout, coalition alignments, or late polling movements could widen the gap ahead of the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Пара
Хана Гассан 41%
Даниэль Сантос 40%
Эдер Мауро 9%
Дирсеу Тен Катен 8.1%
Хана Гассан
41%
Даниэль Сантос
40%
Эдер Мауро
9%
Дирсеу Тен Катен
8%
Паулу Роша
4%
Рожерио Барра
1%
Зекинья Мариньо
1%
Хана Гассан 41%
Даниэль Сантос 40%
Эдер Мауро 9%
Дирсеу Тен Катен 8.1%
Хана Гассан
41%
Даниэль Сантос
40%
Эдер Мауро
9%
Дирсеу Тен Катен
8%
Паулу Роша
4%
Рожерио Барра
1%
Зекинья Мариньо
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Hana Ghassan (MDB) and leading challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with market prices reflecting their near parity and low probabilities assigned to other listed candidates. Ghassan assumed the governorship in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, providing her the advantages of incumbency and name recognition in a first-round field. Recent Quaest polling showed the pair in technical ties for the October 2026 vote, with runoff simulations also close. Limited new surveys since spring and a fragmented field of lower-polling contenders have sustained trader consensus around even odds, though shifts in voter turnout, coalition alignments, or late polling movements could widen the gap ahead of the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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