Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and federal minister, has emerged as the frontrunner in the October 4, 2026 first-round contest, supported by his strong name recognition and recent polling momentum. Multiple August surveys, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel, show him leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by double digits in first-round scenarios and holding an edge in runoff simulations. Traders appear to weigh these consistent survey results, along with Ciro’s established political base in the state, against Elmano’s position as the sitting governor seeking a second term. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support in available polling and remain long shots. The close first-round margins in some surveys leave room for shifts as the campaign intensifies toward election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 70%
Elmano de Freitas 31%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$135,387 Объем
$135,387 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Ciro Gomes
70%
Elmano de Freitas
31%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Камилу Сантана
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 70%
Elmano de Freitas 31%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$135,387 Объем
$135,387 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Ciro Gomes
$76,588 Объем
70%
Elmano de Freitas
$24,064 Объем
31%
Eduardo Girão
$9,761 Объем
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$8,244 Объем
<1%
Камилу Сантана
$7,388 Объем
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$9,342 Объем
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and federal minister, has emerged as the frontrunner in the October 4, 2026 first-round contest, supported by his strong name recognition and recent polling momentum. Multiple August surveys, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel, show him leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by double digits in first-round scenarios and holding an edge in runoff simulations. Traders appear to weigh these consistent survey results, along with Ciro’s established political base in the state, against Elmano’s position as the sitting governor seeking a second term. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support in available polling and remain long shots. The close first-round margins in some surveys leave room for shifts as the campaign intensifies toward election day.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Объем
$135,387Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and federal minister, has emerged as the frontrunner in the October 4, 2026 first-round contest, supported by his strong name recognition and recent polling momentum. Multiple August surveys, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel, show him leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by double digits in first-round scenarios and holding an edge in runoff simulations. Traders appear to weigh these consistent survey results, along with Ciro’s established political base in the state, against Elmano’s position as the sitting governor seeking a second term. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support in available polling and remain long shots. The close first-round margins in some surveys leave room for shifts as the campaign intensifies toward election day.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$135,387Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and federal minister, has emerged as the frontrunner in the October 4, 2026 first-round contest, supported by his strong name recognition and recent polling momentum. Multiple August surveys, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel, show him leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by double digits in first-round scenarios and holding an edge in runoff simulations. Traders appear to weigh these consistent survey results, along with Ciro’s established political base in the state, against Elmano’s position as the sitting governor seeking a second term. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support in available polling and remain long shots. The close first-round margins in some surveys leave room for shifts as the campaign intensifies toward election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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