Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ciro Gomes at 62% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, with a potential runoff on October 25, driven by consistent first-round poll leads in recent surveys like Quaest/Genial (April 30, Ciro 41% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32%) and Veritá (early May, Ciro 48% vs. Elmano 31%). Ciro's May 11 confirmation that he will prioritize the state race over a national presidential bid, leveraging his name recognition and past governance experience, has solidified his frontrunner status, while Elmano trails amid PT debates over fielding Senator Camilo Santana, who polls stronger in head-to-heads. Lower odds for Eduardo Girão, Camilo, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio reflect their distant standings in battleground scenarios, with party conventions and registration deadlines looming as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 62%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
Камилу Сантана 6.7%
Capitão Wagner 3.7%
$53,596 Объем
$53,596 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Ciro Gomes
62%
Elmano de Freitas
22%
Камилу Сантана
7%
Capitão Wagner
4%
Roberto Cláudio
2%
Eduardo Girão
9%
Ciro Gomes 62%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
Камилу Сантана 6.7%
Capitão Wagner 3.7%
$53,596 Объем
$53,596 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Ciro Gomes
$35,981 Объем
62%
Elmano de Freitas
$5,657 Объем
22%
Камилу Сантана
$3,160 Объем
7%
Capitão Wagner
$3,938 Объем
4%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,785 Объем
2%
Eduardo Girão
$3,075 Объем
9%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ciro Gomes at 62% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, with a potential runoff on October 25, driven by consistent first-round poll leads in recent surveys like Quaest/Genial (April 30, Ciro 41% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32%) and Veritá (early May, Ciro 48% vs. Elmano 31%). Ciro's May 11 confirmation that he will prioritize the state race over a national presidential bid, leveraging his name recognition and past governance experience, has solidified his frontrunner status, while Elmano trails amid PT debates over fielding Senator Camilo Santana, who polls stronger in head-to-heads. Lower odds for Eduardo Girão, Camilo, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio reflect their distant standings in battleground scenarios, with party conventions and registration deadlines looming as key catalysts.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Объем
$53,596Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ciro Gomes at 62% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, with a potential runoff on October 25, driven by consistent first-round poll leads in recent surveys like Quaest/Genial (April 30, Ciro 41% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32%) and Veritá (early May, Ciro 48% vs. Elmano 31%). Ciro's May 11 confirmation that he will prioritize the state race over a national presidential bid, leveraging his name recognition and past governance experience, has solidified his frontrunner status, while Elmano trails amid PT debates over fielding Senator Camilo Santana, who polls stronger in head-to-heads. Lower odds for Eduardo Girão, Camilo, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio reflect their distant standings in battleground scenarios, with party conventions and registration deadlines looming as key catalysts.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$53,596Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ciro Gomes at 62% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, with a potential runoff on October 25, driven by consistent first-round poll leads in recent surveys like Quaest/Genial (April 30, Ciro 41% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32%) and Veritá (early May, Ciro 48% vs. Elmano 31%). Ciro's May 11 confirmation that he will prioritize the state race over a national presidential bid, leveraging his name recognition and past governance experience, has solidified his frontrunner status, while Elmano trails amid PT debates over fielding Senator Camilo Santana, who polls stronger in head-to-heads. Lower odds for Eduardo Girão, Camilo, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio reflect their distant standings in battleground scenarios, with party conventions and registration deadlines looming as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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