Tsai Yi-yu holds an 89.5% implied probability as the Chiayi County Magistrate winner due to his decisive January 2026 DPP primary victory and subsequent party nomination as the sole candidate. As a sitting legislator from the county with a decade of local experience, he benefits from the DPP's established organizational strength ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Lower-priced alternatives such as Wu Pin-jui at 7.5% and Tsai Sung-yi at 5.4% reflect limited visibility or party backing at this stage, while the broad field of other listed contenders remains at baseline levels pending formal nominations or polling shifts. The current trader consensus aligns with the absence of major recent disruptions to the DPP's position in the race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЦай И-юй 89%
У Пинь-жуй 8%
Цай Сунъи 5.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Цай И-юй
89%
У Пинь-жуй
8%
Цай Сунъи
5%
Цай И-юй 89%
У Пинь-жуй 8%
Цай Сунъи 5.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Цай И-юй
$707 Объем
89%
У Пинь-жуй
$271 Объем
8%
Цай Сунъи
$79 Объем
5%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu holds an 89.5% implied probability as the Chiayi County Magistrate winner due to his decisive January 2026 DPP primary victory and subsequent party nomination as the sole candidate. As a sitting legislator from the county with a decade of local experience, he benefits from the DPP's established organizational strength ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Lower-priced alternatives such as Wu Pin-jui at 7.5% and Tsai Sung-yi at 5.4% reflect limited visibility or party backing at this stage, while the broad field of other listed contenders remains at baseline levels pending formal nominations or polling shifts. The current trader consensus aligns with the absence of major recent disruptions to the DPP's position in the race.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Объем
$1,057Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu holds an 89.5% implied probability as the Chiayi County Magistrate winner due to his decisive January 2026 DPP primary victory and subsequent party nomination as the sole candidate. As a sitting legislator from the county with a decade of local experience, he benefits from the DPP's established organizational strength ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Lower-priced alternatives such as Wu Pin-jui at 7.5% and Tsai Sung-yi at 5.4% reflect limited visibility or party backing at this stage, while the broad field of other listed contenders remains at baseline levels pending formal nominations or polling shifts. The current trader consensus aligns with the absence of major recent disruptions to the DPP's position in the race.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$1,057Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tsai Yi-yu holds an 89.5% implied probability as the Chiayi County Magistrate winner due to his decisive January 2026 DPP primary victory and subsequent party nomination as the sole candidate. As a sitting legislator from the county with a decade of local experience, he benefits from the DPP's established organizational strength ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Lower-priced alternatives such as Wu Pin-jui at 7.5% and Tsai Sung-yi at 5.4% reflect limited visibility or party backing at this stage, while the broad field of other listed contenders remains at baseline levels pending formal nominations or polling shifts. The current trader consensus aligns with the absence of major recent disruptions to the DPP's position in the race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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