Recent polls from early May, including NPR and CNN surveys, reveal a Democratic enthusiasm advantage over Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, fueling trader consensus for House turnout around 120-130 million votes—well above 2022's 111 million total. Record Democratic primary participation in North Carolina (800,000 voters in March) and Latino surges in South Texas, alongside consistent Democratic overperformance in April special elections like Wisconsin and Georgia, signal broader mobilization potential. Yet the race remains tight, with probabilities clustered due to historical midterm turnout volatility, Republican enthusiasm gaps amid sagging Trump approval, and uncertainty over base turnout in battleground states. Summer primaries, generic ballot shifts, and economic indicators could tip the balance toward higher or lower ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено130 млн+ 19%
115-120 млн 16%
120-125 млн 12%
110–115 млн 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<85 млн
<1%
85-90 млн
1%
90–95 млн
1%
95-100 млн
2%
100–105 млн
1%
105-110 млн
6%
110–115 млн
12%
115-120 млн
16%
120-125 млн
22%
125–130 млн
26%
130 млн+
19%
130 млн+ 19%
115-120 млн 16%
120-125 млн 12%
110–115 млн 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<85 млн
$324 Объем
<1%
85-90 млн
$419 Объем
1%
90–95 млн
$1,552 Объем
1%
95-100 млн
$269 Объем
2%
100–105 млн
$791 Объем
1%
105-110 млн
$436 Объем
6%
110–115 млн
$526 Объем
12%
115-120 млн
$1,025 Объем
16%
120-125 млн
$408 Объем
22%
125–130 млн
$1,199 Объем
26%
130 млн+
$294 Объем
19%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent polls from early May, including NPR and CNN surveys, reveal a Democratic enthusiasm advantage over Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, fueling trader consensus for House turnout around 120-130 million votes—well above 2022's 111 million total. Record Democratic primary participation in North Carolina (800,000 voters in March) and Latino surges in South Texas, alongside consistent Democratic overperformance in April special elections like Wisconsin and Georgia, signal broader mobilization potential. Yet the race remains tight, with probabilities clustered due to historical midterm turnout volatility, Republican enthusiasm gaps amid sagging Trump approval, and uncertainty over base turnout in battleground states. Summer primaries, generic ballot shifts, and economic indicators could tip the balance toward higher or lower ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Объем
$7,242Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent polls from early May, including NPR and CNN surveys, reveal a Democratic enthusiasm advantage over Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, fueling trader consensus for House turnout around 120-130 million votes—well above 2022's 111 million total. Record Democratic primary participation in North Carolina (800,000 voters in March) and Latino surges in South Texas, alongside consistent Democratic overperformance in April special elections like Wisconsin and Georgia, signal broader mobilization potential. Yet the race remains tight, with probabilities clustered due to historical midterm turnout volatility, Republican enthusiasm gaps amid sagging Trump approval, and uncertainty over base turnout in battleground states. Summer primaries, generic ballot shifts, and economic indicators could tip the balance toward higher or lower ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Объем
$7,242Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from early May, including NPR and CNN surveys, reveal a Democratic enthusiasm advantage over Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, fueling trader consensus for House turnout around 120-130 million votes—well above 2022's 111 million total. Record Democratic primary participation in North Carolina (800,000 voters in March) and Latino surges in South Texas, alongside consistent Democratic overperformance in April special elections like Wisconsin and Georgia, signal broader mobilization potential. Yet the race remains tight, with probabilities clustered due to historical midterm turnout volatility, Republican enthusiasm gaps amid sagging Trump approval, and uncertainty over base turnout in battleground states. Summer primaries, generic ballot shifts, and economic indicators could tip the balance toward higher or lower ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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