Trader consensus clusters tightly around 115-125 million total House votes because midterm turnout has historically fallen in that range when neither party generates exceptional mobilization, and current conditions offer no clear signal for a major departure. Democrats hold a modest generic ballot advantage in recent surveys, paired with stronger performance in 2026 special elections, which could lift participation among the party out of power, yet Republican base enthusiasm around economic and border issues may offset that effect. Redistricting changes in several states and an unusually high number of safe seats further dampen expectations for unusually high overall engagement. The narrow spread between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over final campaign intensity, voter registration trends, and external factors such as economic sentiment or weather that typically influence late-cycle turnout without yet producing decisive separation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено120-125 млн 25%
115-120 млн 20%
110–115 млн 12%
125–130 млн 11%
$22,851 Объем
$22,851 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<85 млн
3%
85-90 млн
1%
90–95 млн
3%
95-100 млн
3%
100–105 млн
2%
105-110 млн
6%
110–115 млн
12%
115-120 млн
20%
120-125 млн
25%
125–130 млн
11%
130 млн+
11%
120-125 млн 25%
115-120 млн 20%
110–115 млн 12%
125–130 млн 11%
$22,851 Объем
$22,851 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<85 млн
$572 Объем
3%
85-90 млн
$587 Объем
1%
90–95 млн
$1,723 Объем
3%
95-100 млн
$380 Объем
3%
100–105 млн
$971 Объем
2%
105-110 млн
$931 Объем
6%
110–115 млн
$3,828 Объем
12%
115-120 млн
$3,958 Объем
20%
120-125 млн
$7,063 Объем
25%
125–130 млн
$2,027 Объем
11%
130 млн+
$812 Объем
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 115-125 million total House votes because midterm turnout has historically fallen in that range when neither party generates exceptional mobilization, and current conditions offer no clear signal for a major departure. Democrats hold a modest generic ballot advantage in recent surveys, paired with stronger performance in 2026 special elections, which could lift participation among the party out of power, yet Republican base enthusiasm around economic and border issues may offset that effect. Redistricting changes in several states and an unusually high number of safe seats further dampen expectations for unusually high overall engagement. The narrow spread between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over final campaign intensity, voter registration trends, and external factors such as economic sentiment or weather that typically influence late-cycle turnout without yet producing decisive separation.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Объем
$22,851Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 115-125 million total House votes because midterm turnout has historically fallen in that range when neither party generates exceptional mobilization, and current conditions offer no clear signal for a major departure. Democrats hold a modest generic ballot advantage in recent surveys, paired with stronger performance in 2026 special elections, which could lift participation among the party out of power, yet Republican base enthusiasm around economic and border issues may offset that effect. Redistricting changes in several states and an unusually high number of safe seats further dampen expectations for unusually high overall engagement. The narrow spread between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over final campaign intensity, voter registration trends, and external factors such as economic sentiment or weather that typically influence late-cycle turnout without yet producing decisive separation.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Объем
$22,851Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 115-125 million total House votes because midterm turnout has historically fallen in that range when neither party generates exceptional mobilization, and current conditions offer no clear signal for a major departure. Democrats hold a modest generic ballot advantage in recent surveys, paired with stronger performance in 2026 special elections, which could lift participation among the party out of power, yet Republican base enthusiasm around economic and border issues may offset that effect. Redistricting changes in several states and an unusually high number of safe seats further dampen expectations for unusually high overall engagement. The narrow spread between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over final campaign intensity, voter registration trends, and external factors such as economic sentiment or weather that typically influence late-cycle turnout without yet producing decisive separation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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