Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong lead in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections and the Democratic Party's inability to win a Senate seat there since 1932. Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August primary and benefits from incumbency and established fundraising. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent Methodist pastor, consolidated support in a crowded primary and has highlighted issues like healthcare and rural concerns in recent appearances, including a September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair. Trader pricing reflects these fundamentals and historical patterns, though some recent polling aggregates show a narrower margin than broader forecasts. The November 3 general election remains the resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса
Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса
$49,877 Объем
$49,877 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Роджер Маршалл (Р)
80%
Адам Хэмилтон (Д)
21%
$49,877 Объем
$49,877 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Роджер Маршалл (Р)
$32,391 Объем
80%
Адам Хэмилтон (Д)
$17,485 Объем
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong lead in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections and the Democratic Party's inability to win a Senate seat there since 1932. Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August primary and benefits from incumbency and established fundraising. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent Methodist pastor, consolidated support in a crowded primary and has highlighted issues like healthcare and rural concerns in recent appearances, including a September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair. Trader pricing reflects these fundamentals and historical patterns, though some recent polling aggregates show a narrower margin than broader forecasts. The November 3 general election remains the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Объем
$49,877Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong lead in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections and the Democratic Party's inability to win a Senate seat there since 1932. Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August primary and benefits from incumbency and established fundraising. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent Methodist pastor, consolidated support in a crowded primary and has highlighted issues like healthcare and rural concerns in recent appearances, including a September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair. Trader pricing reflects these fundamentals and historical patterns, though some recent polling aggregates show a narrower margin than broader forecasts. The November 3 general election remains the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$49,877Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong lead in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections and the Democratic Party's inability to win a Senate seat there since 1932. Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August primary and benefits from incumbency and established fundraising. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent Methodist pastor, consolidated support in a crowded primary and has highlighted issues like healthcare and rural concerns in recent appearances, including a September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair. Trader pricing reflects these fundamentals and historical patterns, though some recent polling aggregates show a narrower margin than broader forecasts. The November 3 general election remains the resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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