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icon for Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса

Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса

icon for Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса

Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса

Polymarket

$50,659 Объем

Polymarket

$50,659 Объем

icon for Роджер Маршалл (Р)

Роджер Маршалл (Р)

$32,667 Объем

80%

icon for Адам Хэмилтон (Д)

Адам Хэмилтон (Д)

$17,992 Объем

21%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his incumbency, and the absence of Democratic Senate victories there since the 1930s. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Lean Republican following Marshall's easy August primary win and polling aggregates showing him narrowly ahead. Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and senior pastor of a large United Methodist congregation, advanced from a crowded primary with notable fundraising success and has drawn attention through endorsements and a visible September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair. These factors have made the race more competitive than typical for Kansas but have not overcome the structural partisan advantages favoring the incumbent.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$50,659
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his incumbency, and the absence of Democratic Senate victories there since the 1930s. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Lean Republican following Marshall's easy August primary win and polling aggregates showing him narrowly ahead. Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and senior pastor of a large United Methodist congregation, advanced from a crowded primary with notable fundraising success and has drawn attention through endorsements and a visible September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair. These factors have made the race more competitive than typical for Kansas but have not overcome the structural partisan advantages favoring the incumbent.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$50,659
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Роджер Маршалл (Р)» с 80%, за ним следует «Адам Хэмилтон (Д)» с 21%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 80¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 80%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $50.7K с момента запуска рынка Oct 13, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса» — «Роджер Маршалл (Р)» с 80%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 80%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Адам Хэмилтон (Д)» с 21%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.