All three Great Plains Republican-held Senate seats face similar headwinds from agricultural economic pressures, including tariff impacts on exports, elevated fertilizer and fuel costs tied to Middle East developments, and delays on a new farm bill. In Iowa, retiring Sen. Joni Ernst’s open seat pits Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson against Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek in a race consistently polling within a few points. Nebraska incumbent Pete Ricketts confronts independent Dan Osborn, who previously came within single digits of another GOP senator. Kansas Sen. Roger Marshall faces Democratic pastor Adam Hamilton after the race was downgraded from safe to likely Republican territory. These factors have produced nearly identical trader assessments, with recent polling aggregates and handicapper shifts underscoring the narrow margins across the trio.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНебраска 31%
Айова 31%
Канзас 0
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Небраска
31%
Айова
31%
Канзас
50%
Небраска 31%
Айова 31%
Канзас 0
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Небраска
$0 Объем
31%
Айова
$0 Объем
31%
Канзас
$26 Объем
50%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.All three Great Plains Republican-held Senate seats face similar headwinds from agricultural economic pressures, including tariff impacts on exports, elevated fertilizer and fuel costs tied to Middle East developments, and delays on a new farm bill. In Iowa, retiring Sen. Joni Ernst’s open seat pits Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson against Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek in a race consistently polling within a few points. Nebraska incumbent Pete Ricketts confronts independent Dan Osborn, who previously came within single digits of another GOP senator. Kansas Sen. Roger Marshall faces Democratic pastor Adam Hamilton after the race was downgraded from safe to likely Republican territory. These factors have produced nearly identical trader assessments, with recent polling aggregates and handicapper shifts underscoring the narrow margins across the trio.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Объем
$26Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.All three Great Plains Republican-held Senate seats face similar headwinds from agricultural economic pressures, including tariff impacts on exports, elevated fertilizer and fuel costs tied to Middle East developments, and delays on a new farm bill. In Iowa, retiring Sen. Joni Ernst’s open seat pits Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson against Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek in a race consistently polling within a few points. Nebraska incumbent Pete Ricketts confronts independent Dan Osborn, who previously came within single digits of another GOP senator. Kansas Sen. Roger Marshall faces Democratic pastor Adam Hamilton after the race was downgraded from safe to likely Republican territory. These factors have produced nearly identical trader assessments, with recent polling aggregates and handicapper shifts underscoring the narrow margins across the trio.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$26Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...All three Great Plains Republican-held Senate seats face similar headwinds from agricultural economic pressures, including tariff impacts on exports, elevated fertilizer and fuel costs tied to Middle East developments, and delays on a new farm bill. In Iowa, retiring Sen. Joni Ernst’s open seat pits Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson against Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek in a race consistently polling within a few points. Nebraska incumbent Pete Ricketts confronts independent Dan Osborn, who previously came within single digits of another GOP senator. Kansas Sen. Roger Marshall faces Democratic pastor Adam Hamilton after the race was downgraded from safe to likely Republican territory. These factors have produced nearly identical trader assessments, with recent polling aggregates and handicapper shifts underscoring the narrow margins across the trio.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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