Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1994 and Donald Trump carried the state by double digits in 2024, anchors trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 2026 election. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the open primary on August 18 features a strong GOP field led by Representative Byron Donalds, who holds Trump’s endorsement and leads recent polling averages near 45 percent. General election matchups show Republican candidates ahead by 4 to 7 points against Democratic contenders such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings, though several surveys note sizable undecided blocs and narrower margins in some samples. These dynamics, combined with consistent historical patterns of GOP dominance in statewide races, sustain the elevated probability assigned to a Republican winner.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Флориды
Победитель выборов губернатора Флориды
$18,222 Объем
$18,222 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
79%
Демократ
16%
$18,222 Объем
$18,222 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$7,201 Объем
79%
Демократ
$11,021 Объем
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1994 and Donald Trump carried the state by double digits in 2024, anchors trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 2026 election. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the open primary on August 18 features a strong GOP field led by Representative Byron Donalds, who holds Trump’s endorsement and leads recent polling averages near 45 percent. General election matchups show Republican candidates ahead by 4 to 7 points against Democratic contenders such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings, though several surveys note sizable undecided blocs and narrower margins in some samples. These dynamics, combined with consistent historical patterns of GOP dominance in statewide races, sustain the elevated probability assigned to a Republican winner.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$18,222Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1994 and Donald Trump carried the state by double digits in 2024, anchors trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 2026 election. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the open primary on August 18 features a strong GOP field led by Representative Byron Donalds, who holds Trump’s endorsement and leads recent polling averages near 45 percent. General election matchups show Republican candidates ahead by 4 to 7 points against Democratic contenders such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings, though several surveys note sizable undecided blocs and narrower margins in some samples. These dynamics, combined with consistent historical patterns of GOP dominance in statewide races, sustain the elevated probability assigned to a Republican winner.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$18,222Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1994 and Donald Trump carried the state by double digits in 2024, anchors trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 2026 election. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the open primary on August 18 features a strong GOP field led by Representative Byron Donalds, who holds Trump’s endorsement and leads recent polling averages near 45 percent. General election matchups show Republican candidates ahead by 4 to 7 points against Democratic contenders such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings, though several surveys note sizable undecided blocs and narrower margins in some samples. These dynamics, combined with consistent historical patterns of GOP dominance in statewide races, sustain the elevated probability assigned to a Republican winner.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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