Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1994, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the August 18 Republican primary features frontrunner Byron Donalds, backed by an endorsement from President Trump, alongside competitors including Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins. Polling averages show the eventual Republican nominee holding consistent leads over Democratic candidate David Jolly in hypothetical general-election matchups. Factors reinforcing the 82.5% Republican probability include the party's fundraising edge, historical voting patterns, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the state, though the closely watched primary outcome and any shifts in turnout could still influence final positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Флориды
Победитель выборов губернатора Флориды
$35,007 Объем
$35,007 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
83%
Демократ
18%
$35,007 Объем
$35,007 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$14,553 Объем
83%
Демократ
$20,454 Объем
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1994, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the August 18 Republican primary features frontrunner Byron Donalds, backed by an endorsement from President Trump, alongside competitors including Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins. Polling averages show the eventual Republican nominee holding consistent leads over Democratic candidate David Jolly in hypothetical general-election matchups. Factors reinforcing the 82.5% Republican probability include the party's fundraising edge, historical voting patterns, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the state, though the closely watched primary outcome and any shifts in turnout could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$35,007Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1994, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the August 18 Republican primary features frontrunner Byron Donalds, backed by an endorsement from President Trump, alongside competitors including Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins. Polling averages show the eventual Republican nominee holding consistent leads over Democratic candidate David Jolly in hypothetical general-election matchups. Factors reinforcing the 82.5% Republican probability include the party's fundraising edge, historical voting patterns, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the state, though the closely watched primary outcome and any shifts in turnout could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$35,007Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1994, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the August 18 Republican primary features frontrunner Byron Donalds, backed by an endorsement from President Trump, alongside competitors including Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins. Polling averages show the eventual Republican nominee holding consistent leads over Democratic candidate David Jolly in hypothetical general-election matchups. Factors reinforcing the 82.5% Republican probability include the party's fundraising edge, historical voting patterns, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the state, though the closely watched primary outcome and any shifts in turnout could still influence final positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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