In Florida's newly redrawn 9th Congressional District, a crowded Republican primary on August 18 features Ben Butler, Dan Green, Jorge Martinez, and Thomas Chalifoux as the leading contenders, with traders assigning each roughly 17-31% implied probability amid heavy undecided voters. Redistricting shifted the seat into Republican-leaning territory, drawing multiple candidates focused on cost-of-living concerns and inflation. A mid-August poll showed the top three statistically tied, while recent endorsements such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's support for Green have provided minor momentum without producing clear separation. Candidate forums and late-campaign positioning continue to influence sentiment in this open primary lacking an incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБен Батлер 31.1%
Дэн Грин 29%
Хорхе Мартинес 23.3%
Томас Шалифу 17.4%
$130,451 Объем
$130,451 Объем
Бен Батлер
31%
Дэн Грин
29%
Хорхе Мартинес
23%
Томас Шалифу
17%
Джастин Стори
<1%
Говард Стивен Рэнс
<1%
Хорхе Малавет
<1%
Маркус Картер
<1%
Стив Рэнс
<1%
Бен Батлер 31.1%
Дэн Грин 29%
Хорхе Мартинес 23.3%
Томас Шалифу 17.4%
$130,451 Объем
$130,451 Объем
Бен Батлер
31%
Дэн Грин
29%
Хорхе Мартинес
23%
Томас Шалифу
17%
Джастин Стори
<1%
Говард Стивен Рэнс
<1%
Хорхе Малавет
<1%
Маркус Картер
<1%
Стив Рэнс
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Florida's newly redrawn 9th Congressional District, a crowded Republican primary on August 18 features Ben Butler, Dan Green, Jorge Martinez, and Thomas Chalifoux as the leading contenders, with traders assigning each roughly 17-31% implied probability amid heavy undecided voters. Redistricting shifted the seat into Republican-leaning territory, drawing multiple candidates focused on cost-of-living concerns and inflation. A mid-August poll showed the top three statistically tied, while recent endorsements such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's support for Green have provided minor momentum without producing clear separation. Candidate forums and late-campaign positioning continue to influence sentiment in this open primary lacking an incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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