Florida's redrawn 9th Congressional District has drawn a crowded Republican primary on August 18, 2026, with no incumbent and seven qualified candidates seeking the nomination to challenge Democratic Rep. Darren Soto in the general election. A recent Victory Insights poll showed Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near 14 percent each, with Dan Green close behind at 12 percent and 41 percent of likely voters undecided, keeping the contest wide open. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this fragmentation, with Butler holding a slim lead followed closely by Green, Martinez, and Chalifoux. Key dynamics include varying name recognition, regional bases, and recent endorsements such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's support for Green, alongside candidate forums and policy questionnaires that have highlighted differences on affordability, agriculture, and veterans' issues without producing clear separation among the top contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБен Батлер 31.1%
Дэн Грин 29%
Хорхе Мартинес 23.2%
Томас Шалифу 19.7%
$129,737 Объем
$129,737 Объем
Бен Батлер
31%
Дэн Грин
29%
Хорхе Мартинес
23%
Томас Шалифу
20%
Джастин Стори
<1%
Говард Стивен Рэнс
<1%
Хорхе Малавет
<1%
Маркус Картер
<1%
Стив Рэнс
<1%
Бен Батлер 31.1%
Дэн Грин 29%
Хорхе Мартинес 23.2%
Томас Шалифу 19.7%
$129,737 Объем
$129,737 Объем
Бен Батлер
31%
Дэн Грин
29%
Хорхе Мартинес
23%
Томас Шалифу
20%
Джастин Стори
<1%
Говард Стивен Рэнс
<1%
Хорхе Малавет
<1%
Маркус Картер
<1%
Стив Рэнс
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's redrawn 9th Congressional District has drawn a crowded Republican primary on August 18, 2026, with no incumbent and seven qualified candidates seeking the nomination to challenge Democratic Rep. Darren Soto in the general election. A recent Victory Insights poll showed Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near 14 percent each, with Dan Green close behind at 12 percent and 41 percent of likely voters undecided, keeping the contest wide open. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this fragmentation, with Butler holding a slim lead followed closely by Green, Martinez, and Chalifoux. Key dynamics include varying name recognition, regional bases, and recent endorsements such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's support for Green, alongside candidate forums and policy questionnaires that have highlighted differences on affordability, agriculture, and veterans' issues without producing clear separation among the top contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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